Felix Aliassime-Auger vs Andrey Rublev: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

01/09/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
13	6
Double Faults
4	4
1st Serve Percentage
66%	54%
1st Serve Points Won
83% (50/60)	70% (35/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (17/31)	49% (21/43)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)	43% (3/7)
Average 1st Serve Speed
195 km/h	186 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
157 km/h	143 km/h
1st Return Points Won
30% (15/50)	17% (10/60)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (22/43)	45% (14/31)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)	25% (1/4)
Winners
42	22
Unforced Errors
33	18
Net Points Won
78% (18/23)	90% (9/10)
Service Points Won
74% (67/91)	60% (56/93)
Return Points Won
40% (37/93)	26% (24/91)
Total Points Won
57% (104/184)	43% (80/184)
Last 10 Balls
6	4
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
94% (15/16)	73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)	6% (1/16)
Total Games Won
61% (19/31)	39% (12/31)
Distance Covered (metres)
1681	1645

Chances of winning

Felix Aliassime-Auger
45%

Andrey Rublev
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)		1.74 ↑ (1.67)	4.6% (7.2%)

What is the prediction for Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev?

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). Rublev will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 39% – 74.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 3 - 50%). Rublev (votes: 3 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.

Preview Facts

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 27. Rublev is ranked ATP: 15.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 0.
Now, both players are in good form.
In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Rublev will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.7:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Felix Aliassime-Auger won against Andrey Rublev?

Felix Aliassime-Auger has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Andrey Rublev won against Felix Aliassime-Auger?

Andrey Rublev has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev were as follows:

23.05.2025 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev 0:2

21.02.2025 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev 1:2

05.05.2024 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev 1:2

14.02.2024 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev 1:2

28.06.2023 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev 0:2

Latest results of Felix Aliassime-Auger

30.08.2025 Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger 1:3 ✺

28.08.2025 Roman Safiullin - Felix Aliassime-Auger 0:3 ✺

26.08.2025 Billy Harris - Felix Aliassime-Auger 0:3 ✺

14.08.2025 Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:0 ✺

13.08.2025 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Benjamin Bonzi 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Andrey Rublev

30.08.2025 Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Andrey Rublev 2:3 ✺

28.08.2025 Tristan Boyer - Andrey Rublev 1:3 ✺

25.08.2025 Dino Prizmic - Andrey Rublev 0:3 ✺

15.08.2025 Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 1:2 ✺

13.08.2025 Francisco Comesana - Andrey Rublev 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kopriva V.	3 : 0
2	Popyrin A.	Ruusuvuori E.	3 : 0
3	Royer V. (WC)	Bu Y.	3 : 0
4	Fucsovics M.	Shapovalov D. (27)	0 : 3
5	Bublik A. (23)	Cilic M.	3 : 0
6	Sonego L.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	2 : 3
7	Borges N.	Holt B.	3 : 0
8	Moller E.	Paul T. (14)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (10)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Goffin D.	1 : 3
11	Brooksby J.	Vukic A.	3 : 2
12	Passaro F. (Q)	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
13	Diallo G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	3 : 1
14	Munar J.	Faria J. (LL)	3 : 1
15	Bergs Z.	Tseng C. H.	3 : 0
16	Gomez F. A. (Q)	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tabilo A.	3 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Fearnley J.	1 : 3
19	Monfils G.	Safiullin R.	2 : 3
20	Harris B. (LL)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
21	Humbert U. (22)	Walton A.	1 : 3
22	Kovacevic A.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 3
23	Duckworth J. (LL)	Boyer T. (WC)	0 : 3
24	Prizmic D. (Q)	Rublev A. (15)	0 : 3
25	Khachanov K. (9)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	3 : 1
26	Dellien H.	Majchrzak K.	1 : 3
27	Riedi L. (Q)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
28	Arnaldi M.	Cerundolo F. (19)	2 : 3
29	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Muller A.	3 : 1
30	Altmaier D.	Medjedovic H.	3 : 2
31	Gaston H.	Mochizuki S. (Q)	0 : 3
32	O'Connell C.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
33	Djokovic N. (7)	Tien L.	3 : 0
34	Svajda Z. (Q)	Piros Z. (Q)	3 : 0
35	Norrie C.	Korda S. (RET.)	2 : 0
36	Comesana F.	Michelsen A. (28)	3 : 1
37	Tiafoe F. (17)	Nishioka Y.	3 : 0
38	Damm M. (Q)	Blanch Dar. (WC)	3 : 0
39	Struff J-L. (Q)	McDonald M.	3 : 1
40	Van De Zandschulp B.	Rune H. (11)	0 : 3
41	Mensik J. (16)	Jarry N.	3 : 0
42	Blanchet U. (Q)	Marozsan F.	3 : 1
43	Fonseca J.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 0
44	Nardi L.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
45	Nakashima B. (30)	De Jong J. (Q)	3 : 2
46	Kym J. (Q)	Quinn E.	3 : 1
47	Baez S.	Harris L. (Q)	0 : 3
48	Nava E. (WC)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
49	Shelton B. (6)	Buse I. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Carreno-Busta P.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	3 : 0
51	Thompson J.	Moutet C.	3 : 1
52	Mannarino A.	Griekspoor T. (29)	3 : 0
53	Lehecka J. (20)	Coric B.	3 : 1
54	Ugo Carabelli C.	Etcheverry T. M.	0 : 3
55	Galan D. E. (Alt)	Collignon R.	0 : 3
56	Ofner S.	Ruud C. (12)	0 : 3
57	Medvedev D. (13)	Bonzi B.	2 : 3
58	Navone M.	Giron M.	2 : 3
59	Carballes Baena R.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
60	Shevchenko A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	0 : 3
61	Darderi L. (32)	Hijikata R.	3 : 0
62	Dostanic S. (WC)	Spizzirri E. (WC)	0 : 3
63	Bellucci M.	Shang J. (RET.)	2 : 1
64	Opelka R.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Popyrin A.	3 : 0
2	Royer V.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 3
3	Bublik A. (23)	Schoolkate T.	3 : 0
4	Borges N.	Paul T. (14)	2 : 3
5	Musetti L. (10)	Goffin D.	3 : 0
6	Brooksby J.	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
7	Diallo G. (31)	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Bergs Z. (WO.)	Draper J. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
10	Safiullin R.	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
11	Walton A.	Wong C.	1 : 3
12	Boyer T.	Rublev A. (15)	1 : 3
13	Khachanov K. (9)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 3
14	Riedi L.	Cerundolo F. (19)	3 : 2
15	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Altmaier D.	2 : 3
16	Mochizuki S.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
17	Djokovic N. (7)	Svajda Z.	3 : 1
18	Norrie C.	Comesana F.	3 : 1
19	Tiafoe F. (17)	Damm M.	3 : 1
20	Struff J-L.	Rune H. (11)	3 : 2
21	Mensik J. (16)	Blanchet U.	2 : 3
22	Fonseca J.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
23	Nakashima B. (30)	Kym J.	2 : 3
24	Harris L.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
25	Shelton B. (6)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	1 : 3
27	Lehecka J. (20)	Etcheverry T. M.	3 : 1
28	Collignon R.	Ruud C. (12)	3 : 2
29	Bonzi B.	Giron M.	3 : 2
30	Rinderknech A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	3 : 2
31	Darderi L. (32)	Spizzirri E.	3 : 1
32	Bellucci M.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shapovalov D. (27)	3 : 1
2	Bublik A. (23)	Paul T. (14)	3 : 2
3	Musetti L. (10)	Cobolli F. (RET.) (24)	2 : 0
4	Munar J.	Bergs Z.	3 : 0
5	Zverev A. (3)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	1 : 3
6	Wong C.	Rublev A. (15)	2 : 3
7	Majchrzak K. (RET.)	Riedi L.	0 : 0
8	Altmaier D. (RET.)	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (7)	Norrie C.	3 : 1
10	Tiafoe F. (17)	Struff J-L.	0 : 3
11	Blanchet U.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
12	Kym J.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
13	Shelton B. (RET.) (6)	Mannarino A.	2 : 2
14	Lehecka J. (20)	Collignon R.	3 : 0
15	Bonzi B.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
16	Darderi L. (32)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bublik A. (23)	3 : 0
2	Musetti L. (10)	Munar J.	3 : 0
3	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	Rublev A. (15)	3 : 0
4	Riedi L.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
5	Djokovic N. (7)	Struff J-L.	3 : 0
6	Machac T. (21)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
7	Mannarino A.	Lehecka J. (20)	1 : 3
8	Rinderknech A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Musetti L. (10)	3 : 0
2	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	De Minaur A. (8)	3 : 1
3	Djokovic N. (7)	Fritz T. (4)	3 : 1
4	Lehecka J. (20)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	3 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (7)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 3

Which TV channels are streaming of Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


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Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max