Alexander Zverev vs Felix Aliassime-Auger: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
12	10
Double Faults
5	8
1st Serve Percentage
72%	59%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (64/96)	78% (59/76)
2nd Serve Points Won
61% (23/38)	66% (35/53)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)	78% (7/9)
Average 1st Serve Speed
193 km/h	188 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
154 km/h	153 km/h
1st Return Points Won
28% (21/76)	33% (32/96)
2nd Return Points Won
34% (18/53)	39% (15/38)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)	50% (3/6)
Winners
29	50
Unforced Errors
31	35
Net Points Won
62% (16/26)	89% (24/27)
Service Points Won
65% (86/133)	73% (94/128)
Return Points Won
27% (34/128)	35% (47/133)
Total Points Won
46% (120/261)	54% (141/261)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
86% (18/21)	90% (19/21)
Return Games Won
10% (2/21)	14% (3/21)
Total Games Won
48% (20/42)	52% (22/42)
Distance Covered (metres)
3351	3511

Chances of winning

Alexander Zverev
73.7%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Zverev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Aliassime-Auger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)		3.61 ↑ (3.52)	4.9% (3%)

What is the prediction for Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 50.9% – 95.7%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.

Preview Facts

Zverev is ranked ATP: 3. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 27.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 3.
Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Zverev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Zverev is considered a favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Zverev won against Felix Aliassime-Auger?

Alexander Zverev has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Felix Aliassime-Auger won against Alexander Zverev?

Felix Aliassime-Auger has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger were as follows:

23.03.2024 Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:0

24.12.2022 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Zverev 2:0

Latest results of Alexander Zverev

28.08.2025 Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley 3:0 ✺

26.08.2025 Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Tabilo 3:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

15.08.2025 Ben Shelton - Alexander Zverev 0:2 ✺

13.08.2025 Karen Khachanov - Alexander Zverev Khachanov K. retired ✺

Latest results of Felix Aliassime-Auger

28.08.2025 Roman Safiullin - Felix Aliassime-Auger 0:3 ✺

26.08.2025 Billy Harris - Felix Aliassime-Auger 0:3 ✺

14.08.2025 Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:0 ✺

13.08.2025 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Benjamin Bonzi 2:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger Rinderknech A. retired ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kopriva V.	3 : 0
2	Popyrin A.	Ruusuvuori E.	3 : 0
3	Royer V. (WC)	Bu Y.	3 : 0
4	Fucsovics M.	Shapovalov D. (27)	0 : 3
5	Bublik A. (23)	Cilic M.	3 : 0
6	Sonego L.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	2 : 3
7	Borges N.	Holt B.	3 : 0
8	Moller E.	Paul T. (14)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (10)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Goffin D.	1 : 3
11	Brooksby J.	Vukic A.	3 : 2
12	Passaro F. (Q)	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
13	Diallo G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	3 : 1
14	Munar J.	Faria J. (LL)	3 : 1
15	Bergs Z.	Tseng C. H.	3 : 0
16	Gomez F. A. (Q)	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tabilo A.	3 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Fearnley J.	1 : 3
19	Monfils G.	Safiullin R.	2 : 3
20	Harris B. (LL)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
21	Humbert U. (22)	Walton A.	1 : 3
22	Kovacevic A.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 3
23	Duckworth J. (LL)	Boyer T. (WC)	0 : 3
24	Prizmic D. (Q)	Rublev A. (15)	0 : 3
25	Khachanov K. (9)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	3 : 1
26	Dellien H.	Majchrzak K.	1 : 3
27	Riedi L. (Q)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
28	Arnaldi M.	Cerundolo F. (19)	2 : 3
29	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Muller A.	3 : 1
30	Altmaier D.	Medjedovic H.	3 : 2
31	Gaston H.	Mochizuki S. (Q)	0 : 3
32	O'Connell C.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
33	Djokovic N. (7)	Tien L.	3 : 0
34	Svajda Z. (Q)	Piros Z. (Q)	3 : 0
35	Norrie C.	Korda S. (RET.)	2 : 0
36	Comesana F.	Michelsen A. (28)	3 : 1
37	Tiafoe F. (17)	Nishioka Y.	3 : 0
38	Damm M. (Q)	Blanch Dar. (WC)	3 : 0
39	Struff J-L. (Q)	McDonald M.	3 : 1
40	Van De Zandschulp B.	Rune H. (11)	0 : 3
41	Mensik J. (16)	Jarry N.	3 : 0
42	Blanchet U. (Q)	Marozsan F.	3 : 1
43	Fonseca J.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 0
44	Nardi L.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
45	Nakashima B. (30)	De Jong J. (Q)	3 : 2
46	Kym J. (Q)	Quinn E.	3 : 1
47	Baez S.	Harris L. (Q)	0 : 3
48	Nava E. (WC)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
49	Shelton B. (6)	Buse I. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Carreno-Busta P.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	3 : 0
51	Thompson J.	Moutet C.	3 : 1
52	Mannarino A.	Griekspoor T. (29)	3 : 0
53	Lehecka J. (20)	Coric B.	3 : 1
54	Ugo Carabelli C.	Etcheverry T. M.	0 : 3
55	Galan D. E. (Alt)	Collignon R.	0 : 3
56	Ofner S.	Ruud C. (12)	0 : 3
57	Medvedev D. (13)	Bonzi B.	2 : 3
58	Navone M.	Giron M.	2 : 3
59	Carballes Baena R.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
60	Shevchenko A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	0 : 3
61	Darderi L. (32)	Hijikata R.	3 : 0
62	Dostanic S. (WC)	Spizzirri E. (WC)	0 : 3
63	Bellucci M.	Shang J. (RET.)	2 : 1
64	Opelka R.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Popyrin A.	3 : 0
2	Royer V.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 3
3	Bublik A. (23)	Schoolkate T.	3 : 0
4	Borges N.	Paul T. (14)	2 : 3
5	Musetti L. (10)	Goffin D.	3 : 0
6	Brooksby J.	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
7	Diallo G. (31)	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Bergs Z. (WO.)	Draper J. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
10	Safiullin R.	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
11	Walton A.	Wong C.	1 : 3
12	Boyer T.	Rublev A. (15)	1 : 3
13	Khachanov K. (9)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 3
14	Riedi L.	Cerundolo F. (19)	3 : 2
15	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Altmaier D.	2 : 3
16	Mochizuki S.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
17	Djokovic N. (7)	Svajda Z.	3 : 1
18	Norrie C.	Comesana F.	3 : 1
19	Tiafoe F. (17)	Damm M.	3 : 1
20	Struff J-L.	Rune H. (11)	3 : 2
21	Mensik J. (16)	Blanchet U.	2 : 3
22	Fonseca J.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
23	Nakashima B. (30)	Kym J.	2 : 3
24	Harris L.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
25	Shelton B. (6)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	1 : 3
27	Lehecka J. (20)	Etcheverry T. M.	3 : 1
28	Collignon R.	Ruud C. (12)	3 : 2
29	Bonzi B.	Giron M.	3 : 2
30	Rinderknech A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	3 : 2
31	Darderi L. (32)	Spizzirri E.	3 : 1
32	Bellucci M.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shapovalov D. (27)	3 : 1
2	Bublik A. (23)	Paul T. (14)	3 : 2
3	Musetti L. (10)	Cobolli F. (RET.) (24)	2 : 0
4	Munar J.	Bergs Z.	3 : 0
5	Zverev A. (3)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	1 : 3
6	Wong C.	Rublev A. (15)	2 : 3
7	Majchrzak K. (RET.)	Riedi L.	0 : 0
8	Altmaier D. (RET.)	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (7)	Norrie C.	3 : 1
10	Tiafoe F. (17)	Struff J-L.	0 : 3
11	Blanchet U.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
12	Kym J.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
13	Shelton B. (RET.) (6)	Mannarino A.	2 : 2
14	Lehecka J. (20)	Collignon R.	3 : 0
15	Bonzi B.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
16	Darderi L. (32)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bublik A. (23)	3 : 0
2	Musetti L. (10)	Munar J.	3 : 0
3	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	Rublev A. (15)	3 : 0
4	Riedi L.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
5	Djokovic N. (7)	Struff J-L.	3 : 0
6	Machac T. (21)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
7	Mannarino A.	Lehecka J. (20)	1 : 3
8	Rinderknech A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Musetti L. (10)	3 : 0
2	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	De Minaur A. (8)	3 : 1
3	Djokovic N. (7)	Fritz T. (4)	3 : 1
4	Lehecka J. (20)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	3 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (7)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 3

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