Felix Aliassime-Auger vs Alex De Minaur: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/09/2025 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY).

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Aces
22	8
Double Faults
11	11
1st Serve Percentage
64%	42%
1st Serve Points Won
82% (78/95)	77% (53/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (17/53)	50% (47/94)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)	56% (5/9)
Average 1st Serve Speed
191 km/h	184 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
155 km/h	141 km/h
1st Return Points Won
23% (16/69)	18% (17/95)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (47/94)	68% (36/53)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)	40% (4/10)
Winners
51	29
Unforced Errors
50	43
Net Points Won
62% (21/34)	75% (15/20)
Service Points Won
64% (95/148)	61% (100/163)
Return Points Won
39% (63/163)	36% (53/148)
Total Points Won
51% (158/311)	49% (153/311)
Last 10 Balls
6	4
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
83% (19/23)	83% (19/23)
Return Games Won
17% (4/23)	17% (4/23)
Total Games Won
50% (23/46)	50% (23/46)
Distance Covered (metres)
3155	3164

Chances of winning

Felix Aliassime-Auger
41.6%

Alex De Minaur
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.39)		1.64 ↑ (1.62)	4.6% (3.8%)

What is the prediction for Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur?

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (56 of 70 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.63% – 89.37%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.

Preview Facts

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 27. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8.
Aliassime-Auger is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, De Minaur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
De Minaur might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Felix Aliassime-Auger won against Alex De Minaur?

Felix Aliassime-Auger has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Felix Aliassime-Auger?

Alex De Minaur has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur were as follows:

13.05.2024 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur 1:2

27.11.2022 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur 2:0

Latest results of Felix Aliassime-Auger

01.09.2025 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev 3:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger 1:3 ✺

28.08.2025 Roman Safiullin - Felix Aliassime-Auger 0:3 ✺

26.08.2025 Billy Harris - Felix Aliassime-Auger 0:3 ✺

14.08.2025 Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Alex De Minaur

01.09.2025 Leandro Riedi - Alex De Minaur 0:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Daniel Altmaier - Alex De Minaur Altmaier D. retired ✺

28.08.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex De Minaur 0:3 ✺

26.08.2025 Christopher OConnell - Alex De Minaur 0:3 ✺

10.08.2025 Alex De Minaur - Reilly Opelka 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kopriva V.	3 : 0
2	Popyrin A.	Ruusuvuori E.	3 : 0
3	Royer V. (WC)	Bu Y.	3 : 0
4	Fucsovics M.	Shapovalov D. (27)	0 : 3
5	Bublik A. (23)	Cilic M.	3 : 0
6	Sonego L.	Schoolkate T. (WC)	2 : 3
7	Borges N.	Holt B.	3 : 0
8	Moller E.	Paul T. (14)	0 : 3
9	Musetti L. (10)	Mpetshi Perricard G.	3 : 1
10	Halys Q.	Goffin D.	1 : 3
11	Brooksby J.	Vukic A.	3 : 2
12	Passaro F. (Q)	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
13	Diallo G. (31)	Dzumhur D.	3 : 1
14	Munar J.	Faria J. (LL)	3 : 1
15	Bergs Z.	Tseng C. H.	3 : 0
16	Gomez F. A. (Q)	Draper J. (5)	1 : 3
17	Zverev A. (3)	Tabilo A.	3 : 0
18	Bautista-Agut R.	Fearnley J.	1 : 3
19	Monfils G.	Safiullin R.	2 : 3
20	Harris B. (LL)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
21	Humbert U. (22)	Walton A.	1 : 3
22	Kovacevic A.	Wong C. (Q)	0 : 3
23	Duckworth J. (LL)	Boyer T. (WC)	0 : 3
24	Prizmic D. (Q)	Rublev A. (15)	0 : 3
25	Khachanov K. (9)	Basavareddy N. (WC)	3 : 1
26	Dellien H.	Majchrzak K.	1 : 3
27	Riedi L. (Q)	Martinez P.	3 : 0
28	Arnaldi M.	Cerundolo F. (19)	2 : 3
29	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Muller A.	3 : 1
30	Altmaier D.	Medjedovic H.	3 : 2
31	Gaston H.	Mochizuki S. (Q)	0 : 3
32	O'Connell C.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
33	Djokovic N. (7)	Tien L.	3 : 0
34	Svajda Z. (Q)	Piros Z. (Q)	3 : 0
35	Norrie C.	Korda S. (RET.)	2 : 0
36	Comesana F.	Michelsen A. (28)	3 : 1
37	Tiafoe F. (17)	Nishioka Y.	3 : 0
38	Damm M. (Q)	Blanch Dar. (WC)	3 : 0
39	Struff J-L. (Q)	McDonald M.	3 : 1
40	Van De Zandschulp B.	Rune H. (11)	0 : 3
41	Mensik J. (16)	Jarry N.	3 : 0
42	Blanchet U. (Q)	Marozsan F.	3 : 1
43	Fonseca J.	Kecmanovic M.	3 : 0
44	Nardi L.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
45	Nakashima B. (30)	De Jong J. (Q)	3 : 2
46	Kym J. (Q)	Quinn E.	3 : 1
47	Baez S.	Harris L. (Q)	0 : 3
48	Nava E. (WC)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
49	Shelton B. (6)	Buse I. (Q)	3 : 0
50	Carreno-Busta P.	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	3 : 0
51	Thompson J.	Moutet C.	3 : 1
52	Mannarino A.	Griekspoor T. (29)	3 : 0
53	Lehecka J. (20)	Coric B.	3 : 1
54	Ugo Carabelli C.	Etcheverry T. M.	0 : 3
55	Galan D. E. (Alt)	Collignon R.	0 : 3
56	Ofner S.	Ruud C. (12)	0 : 3
57	Medvedev D. (13)	Bonzi B.	2 : 3
58	Navone M.	Giron M.	2 : 3
59	Carballes Baena R.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
60	Shevchenko A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	0 : 3
61	Darderi L. (32)	Hijikata R.	3 : 0
62	Dostanic S. (WC)	Spizzirri E. (WC)	0 : 3
63	Bellucci M.	Shang J. (RET.)	2 : 1
64	Opelka R.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Popyrin A.	3 : 0
2	Royer V.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 3
3	Bublik A. (23)	Schoolkate T.	3 : 0
4	Borges N.	Paul T. (14)	2 : 3
5	Musetti L. (10)	Goffin D.	3 : 0
6	Brooksby J.	Cobolli F. (24)	2 : 3
7	Diallo G. (31)	Munar J.	0 : 3
8	Bergs Z. (WO.)	Draper J. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Fearnley J.	3 : 0
10	Safiullin R.	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	0 : 3
11	Walton A.	Wong C.	1 : 3
12	Boyer T.	Rublev A. (15)	1 : 3
13	Khachanov K. (9)	Majchrzak K.	2 : 3
14	Riedi L.	Cerundolo F. (19)	3 : 2
15	Tsitsipas S. (26)	Altmaier D.	2 : 3
16	Mochizuki S.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
17	Djokovic N. (7)	Svajda Z.	3 : 1
18	Norrie C.	Comesana F.	3 : 1
19	Tiafoe F. (17)	Damm M.	3 : 1
20	Struff J-L.	Rune H. (11)	3 : 2
21	Mensik J. (16)	Blanchet U.	2 : 3
22	Fonseca J.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
23	Nakashima B. (30)	Kym J.	2 : 3
24	Harris L.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
25	Shelton B. (6)	Carreno-Busta P.	3 : 0
26	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	1 : 3
27	Lehecka J. (20)	Etcheverry T. M.	3 : 1
28	Collignon R.	Ruud C. (12)	3 : 2
29	Bonzi B.	Giron M.	3 : 2
30	Rinderknech A.	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	3 : 2
31	Darderi L. (32)	Spizzirri E.	3 : 1
32	Bellucci M.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Shapovalov D. (27)	3 : 1
2	Bublik A. (23)	Paul T. (14)	3 : 2
3	Musetti L. (10)	Cobolli F. (RET.) (24)	2 : 0
4	Munar J.	Bergs Z.	3 : 0
5	Zverev A. (3)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	1 : 3
6	Wong C.	Rublev A. (15)	2 : 3
7	Majchrzak K. (RET.)	Riedi L.	0 : 0
8	Altmaier D. (RET.)	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Djokovic N. (7)	Norrie C.	3 : 1
10	Tiafoe F. (17)	Struff J-L.	0 : 3
11	Blanchet U.	Machac T. (21)	0 : 3
12	Kym J.	Fritz T. (4)	1 : 3
13	Shelton B. (RET.) (6)	Mannarino A.	2 : 2
14	Lehecka J. (20)	Collignon R.	3 : 0
15	Bonzi B.	Rinderknech A.	1 : 3
16	Darderi L. (32)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bublik A. (23)	3 : 0
2	Musetti L. (10)	Munar J.	3 : 0
3	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	Rublev A. (15)	3 : 0
4	Riedi L.	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 3
5	Djokovic N. (7)	Struff J-L.	3 : 0
6	Machac T. (21)	Fritz T. (4)	0 : 3
7	Mannarino A.	Lehecka J. (20)	1 : 3
8	Rinderknech A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Musetti L. (10)	3 : 0
2	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	De Minaur A. (8)	3 : 1
3	Djokovic N. (7)	Fritz T. (4)	3 : 1
4	Lehecka J. (20)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Semi-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (25)	3 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (7)	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 3

Final

1

Sinner J. (1)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 3

Which TV channels are streaming of Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alex De Minaur?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max