Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico Coria: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Santiago Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria
Result
2:0
28/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - Quarter-finals
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
68%65%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (26/39)51% (21/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (8/18)32% (7/22)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)60% (9/15)
1st Return Points Won
49% (20/41)33% (13/39)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (15/22)56% (10/18)
Break Points Converted
40% (6/15)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
59% (33/56)44% (28/63)
Return Points Won
56% (35/63)41% (23/56)
Total Points Won
57% (68/119)43% (51/119)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)33% (3/9)
Return Games Won
67% (6/9)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
55.5%
Federico Coria
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Coria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.61)

    2.11
    (2.33)
    5.7%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 69. Coria is ranked ATP: 136.
    • Ugo Carabelli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Coria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria were as follows:
    04.02.2024 Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0:2
    13.11.2023 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria 2:0
    22.08.2023 Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:0
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Latest results of Federico Coria
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Hanfmann Y.Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    3Garin C. (WC)Ficovich J. P. (Q)2 : 1
    4Gaston H.Etcheverry T. M. (5)0 : 2
    5Martinez P. (4)Bye
    6Buse I. (WC)Djere L.0 : 2
    7Heide G. (Q)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    8Faria J.Darderi L. (8)2 : 0
    9Navone M. (6)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    10Moutet C.Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    11Meligeni Alves F. (Q)Comesana F.0 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Jarry N. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    14Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Monteiro T.1 : 2
    15Coria F.Barrios Vera T. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeTabilo A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Hanfmann Y.2 : 1
    2Garin C.Etcheverry T. M. (5)0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Djere L.0 : 2
    4Heide G.Faria J.1 : 2
    5Navone M. (6)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    6Comesana F.Baez S. (3)1 : 2
    7Ugo Carabelli C.Monteiro T.2 : 1
    8Coria F.Tabilo A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Etcheverry T. M. (5)2 : 1
    2Djere L.Faria J.2 : 1
    3Dzumhur D.Baez S. (3)0 : 2
    4Ugo Carabelli C.Coria F.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Djere L.1 : 2
    2Baez S. (3)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 1

    Final
    1Djere L.Baez S. (3)2 : 1
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