Vilius Gaubas vs Federico Arnaboldi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Umag Vilius Gaubas - Federico Arnaboldi
Result
2:0
19/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Umag - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Vilius Gaubas - Federico Arnaboldi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
70%62%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (28/35)61% (19/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (8/15)47% (9/19)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
39% (12/31)20% (7/35)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (10/19)47% (7/15)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)0% (0/0)
Winners
139
Unforced Errors
1527
Net Points Won
67% (2/3)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
72% (36/50)56% (28/50)
Return Points Won
44% (22/50)28% (14/50)
Total Points Won
58% (58/100)42% (42/100)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Vilius Gaubas
72.9%
Federico Arnaboldi
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilius Gaubas's performance.
  • Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Arnaboldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vilius Gaubas - Federico Arnaboldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.46)

    3.49
    (2.56)
    6%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gaubas is ranked ATP: 143. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 220.
    • Gaubas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Arnaboldi has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Gaubas is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gaubas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vilius Gaubas - Federico Arnaboldi were as follows:
    28.07.2024 Federico Arnaboldi - Vilius Gaubas 2:0
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (1)Sachko V.2 : 1
    2Llamas Ruiz P. (PR)Jacquet K. (5)2 : 1
    3Gaubas V. (2)Arnaboldi F.2 : 0
    4McDonald N. (WC)Droguet T. (7)0 : 2
    5Trungelliti M. (3)Mikrut L. (WC)0 : 2
    6Guillen Meza A.Blanchet U. (6)2 : 1
    7Coria F. (4)Zeppieri G. (PR)0 : 2
    8Cecchinato M. (Alt)van Assche L. (8)0 : 2

    Final
    1Pellegrino A. (1)Llamas Ruiz P.
    2Gaubas V. (2)Droguet T. (7)
    3Mikrut L.Guillen Meza A.
    4Zeppieri G.van Assche L. (8)
    X
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