MVV Maastricht vs FC Eindhoven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eerste Divisie MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven
Result
3:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eerste Divisie - Round 10
  • Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.34
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
83% (381/457)82% (326/397)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.651.29
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
83% (381/457)82% (326/397)
Long passes
53% (25/47)56% (33/59)
Passes in final third
70% (87/125)63% (67/106)
Crosses
29% (4/14)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.26
Throw-ins
2414
Fouls
1212
Tackles
67% (6/9)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3940
Clearances
2434
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.291.65
Goals prevented
0.29-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Silva Timas I. , Camil Mmaee (A),
  • 13', 2 - 0, de Moes S. (Own goal),
  • 44', Camil Mmaee 🟨,
  • 45', Van Dessel S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lukoki Mateso E. , Mununga T. ,
  • 66', Kuipers M. , Braken S. ,
  • 66', Tran L. M. , Sy K. ,
  • 66', Essers C. , Renfrum O. ,
  • 66', Dorenbosch D. , Bryson A. ,
  • 67', Breugelmans I. 🟨,
  • 73', Bryson A. 🟨,
  • 75', de Moes S. , van de Wetering M. ,
  • 83', Van Dessel S. , Kleinen M. ,
  • 83', Breugelmans I. , Zaian A. ,
  • 86', Huisman D. , van Veen K. ,
  • 88', Silva Timas I. , Verheijen T. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 0, Verheijen T. , Klaasen R. (A),
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Janga R. (Pen),

Chances of winning


MVV Maastricht
60.7%
Draw
22.8%
FC Eindhoven
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 24.4% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 23.8% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MVV Maastricht's performance.
  • FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-23.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MVV Maastricht that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+22.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.45)
    5.62
    (3.8)
    8.47
    (2.45)
    -16.5%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maastricht: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 3.
    • Recent form of Maastricht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • FC Eindhoven is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Maastricht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in FC Eindhoven: Brondeel J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven were as follows:
    14.02.2025 MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven 2:0
    17.11.2024 FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht 1:1
    26.01.2024 FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht 0:3
    02.10.2023 MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven 0:1
    31.03.2023 MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven 3:2
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    29.09.2025 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 2:2
    26.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:0
    21.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 1:0
    16.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Den Bosch 2:4
    12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    30.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht 2:2
    19.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - FC Oss 3:4
    15.09.2025 Almere City - FC Eindhoven 5:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambuur1182123:121126
    2Den Haag981027:72025
    3Jong PSV1062221:13820
    4Roda1053215:14118
    5Den Bosch1052322:19317
    6Willem II1052312:13-117
    7Dordrecht1044215:11416
    8Waalwijk1043316:14215
    9Helmond1041511:14-313
    10FC Emmen1141621:21013
    11De Graafschap1033415:16-112
    12Venlo1040614:17-312
    13Maastricht103259:14-511
    14Oss1032516:22-611
    15Eindhoven FC113269:22-1311
    16Almere City1031621:17410
    17Jong AZ1022612:19-78
    18Jong Utrecht1022612:20-88
    19Jong Ajax1013616:22-66
    20Vitesse832314:140-1

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