FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal
Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.83
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1114
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
35
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
46
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
02
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Free Kicks
1210
Offsides
03
Fouls
1012
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1822
Touches in the Opposition Box
2118
Passes
81% (315/389)81% (305/376)
Passes in the final third
60% (64/106)72% (60/83)
Crosses
33% (6/18)28% (7/25)
Tackles
67% (6/9)82% (9/11)
Clearances Total
2026
Interceptions
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Bordacahar C. ,
  • 40', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
  • 40', Alcedo F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Rodriguez G. , Tandazo W. ,
  • 64', Deneumostier A. , Cabanillas N. ,
  • 64', Guzman L. , Castro F. ,
  • 66', Avila I. , Sosa L. ,
  • 66', Cabellos C. , Sosa M. ,
  • 66', Alcedo F. , Tavara M. ,
  • 73', Martinez T. , Vivanco P. ,
  • 73', Orzan H. , Arias A. ,
  • 77', Pretell J. , Castro M. ,
  • 77', Gonzales C. , Alarcon J. ,
  • 90+3', Sosa L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Romero F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
50.1%
Draw
25.8%
Sporting Cristal
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 28% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 28.2% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.
  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FBC Melgar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.53)
    3.62
    (3.36)
    3.9
    (2.7)
    6.4%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Melgar won 3.
    • Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
    • Sporting Cristal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Melgar will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Solis R. (Knee Injury) Sosa L. (Muscle Injury) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Melgar won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:21 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    21.08.2024 FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal 2:0
    13.03.2024 Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar 1:2
    23.07.2023 FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal 1:1
    17.02.2023 Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar 1:0
    06.11.2022 Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar 0:2
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes16112337:122535
    2Alianza Lima16103318:10833
    3Alianza Atl16101527:161131
    4FBC Melgar1685326:18829
    5Sporting Cristal1691628:22628
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1783628:181027
    7Sport Huancayo1683522:18427
    8Cusco1574425:18725
    9Cienciano1657428:23522
    10Los Chankas1656523:24-121
    11Sport Boys1655625:25020
    12AD Tarma1655622:29-720
    13Grau1647520:22-219
    14Cajamarca1653817:33-1618
    15Binacional1645718:27-917
    16Juan Pablo II1543818:25-715
    17Comerciantes Unidos1625917:29-1211
    18Ayacucho16231112:27-159
    19Alianza Huanuco1515913:28-158

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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