Cerro Porteño vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores
Soccer Copa Libertadores Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar
Result
4:2
12/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.940.93
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
155
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
20
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
33
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
711
Offsides
41
Fouls
117
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
2026
Touches in the Opposition Box
2912
Passes
80% (249/310)83% (403/483)
Passes in the final third
65% (58/89)65% (83/127)
Crosses
50% (3/6)23% (5/22)
Tackles
57% (12/21)61% (14/23)
Clearances Total
3612
Interceptions
189

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Araujo S. ⚽, Aguayo G. (A),
  • 30', Dominguez C. (Pen),
  • 38', Aguayo G. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
  • 42', Gimenez G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 1 - 1, Martinez T. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Lazo M. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
  • 46', Guzman L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
  • 46', Araujo S. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Carrizo F. ⚽, Iturbe J. (A),
  • 60', Dominguez C. 🟨,
  • 62', Iturbe J. ↓, Chico ↑,
  • 62', Carrizo F. ↓, Farina A. ↑,
  • 66', Velazquez G. 🟨,
  • 69', Tandazo W. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Chico ⚽, Dominguez C. (A),
  • 79', 4 - 1, Farina A. ⚽,
  • 80', Dominguez C. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
  • 82', Martinez T. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
  • 82', Cabanillas N. ↓, Llontop M. ↑,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Liza P. ⚽, Arias A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerro Porteño
54%		Draw
27.5%		FBC Melgar
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 25.1% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 26.6% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
    •

    Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.74 ↑
    (1.66)    		 3.42 ↓
    (3.68)    		 5.1 ↑
    (4.75)    		 6.3%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Melgar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Melgar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Melgar have a series of home games.
    • In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    05.03.2025 FBC Melgar - Cerro Porteño 0:1
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    09.03.2025 General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño 0:1 ✺
    05.03.2025 FBC Melgar - Cerro Porteño 0:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion 0:1 ✺
    27.02.2025 Cerro Porteño - Monagas 3:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    08.03.2025 FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    05.03.2025 FBC Melgar - Cerro Porteño 0:1 ✺
    27.02.2025 FBC Melgar - Deportes Tolima 1:0 ✺
    23.02.2025 FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético 2:1 ✺
    20.02.2025 Deportes Tolima - FBC Melgar 0:1 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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