Cerro Porteño vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar
Result
4:2
12/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.940.93
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
155
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
20
Blocked Shots
52
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
33
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
711
Offsides
41
Fouls
117
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
2026
Touches in the Opposition Box
2912
Passes
80% (249/310)83% (403/483)
Passes in the final third
65% (58/89)65% (83/127)
Crosses
50% (3/6)23% (5/22)
Tackles
57% (12/21)61% (14/23)
Clearances Total
3612
Interceptions
189

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Araujo S. , Aguayo G. (A),
  • 30', Dominguez C. (Pen),
  • 38', Aguayo G. , Iturbe J. ,
  • 42', Gimenez G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 1 - 1, Martinez T. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Lazo M. , Ramos E. ,
  • 46', Guzman L. , Liza P. ,
  • 46', Araujo S. , Viera W. ,
  • 56', 2 - 1, Carrizo F. , Iturbe J. (A),
  • 60', Dominguez C. 🟨,
  • 62', Iturbe J. , Chico ,
  • 62', Carrizo F. , Farina A. ,
  • 66', Velazquez G. 🟨,
  • 69', Tandazo W. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Chico , Dominguez C. (A),
  • 79', 4 - 1, Farina A. ,
  • 80', Dominguez C. , Morel J. ,
  • 82', Martinez T. , Arias A. ,
  • 82', Cabanillas N. , Llontop M. ,
  • 89', 4 - 2, Liza P. , Arias A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerro Porteño
54%
Draw
27.5%
FBC Melgar
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 25.1% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 26.6% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.66)
    3.42
    (3.68)
    5.1
    (4.75)
    6.3%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
    • Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Melgar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Melgar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Melgar have a series of home games.
    • In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    05.03.2025 FBC Melgar - Cerro Porteño 0:1
    Latest results of Cerro Porteño
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ
    Which TV channels are streaming of Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaStarTimes App
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
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    brazilBrazilParamount+
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
    indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
    israelIsraelSport 2
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    spainSpainbeIN Sports
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
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    worldWorldDisney+
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