Ayacucho vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Ayacucho - FBC Melgar
Result
2:3
27/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
Ayacucho - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.82
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
73% (217/296)75% (287/382)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.77
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1519
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
73% (217/296)75% (287/382)
Long passes
44% (28/63)44% (35/80)
Passes in final third
55% (40/73)48% (49/103)
Crosses
50% (4/8)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.58
Fouls
1611
Tackles
70% (7/10)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5352
Clearances Total
2730
Interceptions
99
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.771.03
Goals prevented
-2.23-1.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Perez Azambuya E. M. (Pen),
  • 27', Liza P. 🟨,
  • 33', Lucumi J. 🟨,
  • 33', Valencia J. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Martinez T. , Bordacahar C. (A),
  • 44', 2 - 1, Lucumi J. , Ferreira M. (A),
  • 44', Ganoza M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Rodriguez D. , Lazo M. ,
  • 54', Liza P. , Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ,
  • 54', Tandazo W. , Guzman L. ,
  • 59', Orzan H. 🟨,
  • 63', Orzan H. 🟥,
  • 65', Rodriguez G. , Arias A. ,
  • 75', Bilbao J. 🟥,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Guzman L. ,
  • 78', Yovera A. , Navarro G. ,
  • 78', Ferreira M. 🟨,
  • 80', Ferreira M. , Salem J. ,
  • 83', 2 - 3, Guzman L. ,
  • 85', Bordacahar C. , Barreda M. ,
  • 87', Lucumi J. , Barrios K. ,
  • 87', Ramirez D. , Vilchez J. ,

Chances of winning


Ayacucho
19.1%
Draw
24.2%
FBC Melgar
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 28.9% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 28.4% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayacucho's form might have worsened.
  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBC Melgar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBC Melgar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ayacucho - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.9
    (3.91)
    3.88
    (3.27)
    1.64
    (2.02)
    7.2%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Peruvian Liga 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Ayacucho - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: FBC Melgar will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 1.
    • Ayacucho is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Melgar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Melgar have a series of home games.
    • In this match Melgar is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Ayacucho won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 13:31 (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ayacucho won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    08.10.2022 FBC Melgar - Ayacucho 3:0
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1382329:121726
    2Alianza Lima1382316:10626
    3FBC Melgar1374222:14825
    4Alianza Atl1381420:12825
    5Sport Huancayo1381420:15525
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1472524:141023
    7Cusco1372425:18723
    8Sporting Cristal1371522:17522
    9AD Tarma1454522:24-219
    10Cienciano1345423:19417
    11Sport Boys1344520:21-116
    12Los Chankas1336418:19-115
    13Grau1236317:18-115
    14Cajamarca1342714:29-1514
    15Binacional1334615:23-813
    16Juan Pablo II1232713:20-711
    17Ayacucho1323810:22-129
    18Comerciantes Unidos1215614:23-98
    19Alianza Huanuco1314811:25-147

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