FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 FBC Melgar - Ayacucho
Result
2:1
17/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6
  • Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)
FBC Melgar - Ayacucho - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.25
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
81% (357/443)73% (191/260)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.010.61
Total shots
195
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
81% (357/443)73% (191/260)
Long passes
48% (28/58)43% (32/74)
Passes in final third
71% (117/165)55% (42/77)
Crosses
10% (3/30)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.29
Throw-ins
2116
Fouls
1311
Tackles
78% (7/9)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3945
Clearances
1939
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.611.01
Goals prevented
-0.39-0.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Vidales J. , Quagliata N. (A),
  • 38', Ganoza M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Caro D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Quagliata N. , Guzman L. ,
  • 49', Guzman L. 🟨,
  • 51', Ganoza M. , Ataupillco J. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Caballero F. , Bilbao J. (A),
  • 65', Vilchez J. , Barrios K. ,
  • 65', Caro D. , Lucumi J. ,
  • 67', Llontop M. , Liza P. ,
  • 67', Vidales J. , D'Arrigo J. ,
  • 76', Tandazo W. , Martinez T. ,
  • 81', Arakaki H. , de la Cruz A. ,
  • 83', Bordacahar C. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Rodriguez G. , Cuesta B. (A),

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
75%
Draw
16.5%
Ayacucho
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 18.1% 9.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • FBC Melgar - Ayacucho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.29)
    5.53
    (5.13)
    10.95
    (9.55)
    6.8%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Ayacucho?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 73.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 3.
    • Melgar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ayacucho's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ayacucho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melgar is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Melgar: Cabanillas N. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez L. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Ayacucho: Barrios K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:13. (average 1.6:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 1.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Ayacucho were as follows:
    27.03.2025 Ayacucho - FBC Melgar 2:3
    08.10.2022 FBC Melgar - Ayacucho 3:0
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes743011:4715
    2Sporting Cristal642013:21114
    3Cusco54107:1613
    4Deportivo Garcilaso73409:4513
    5Alianza Lima73317:5212
    6Alianza Huanuco73139:10-110
    7Sport Huancayo723210:1009
    8FBC Melgar72327:8-19
    9Los Chankas63039:13-49
    10Cienciano62227:528
    11Grau72149:11-27
    12AD Tarma72145:11-67
    13Alianza Atl51313:216
    14Juan Pablo II61326:8-26
    15Comerciantes Unidos61237:10-35
    16Ayacucho61145:9-44
    17Sport Boys71152:9-74
    18Cajamarca50234:8-42
    19Binacional00000:000

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