Alianza Atlético vs FBC Melgar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar
Result
0:0
01/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
  • Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.520.52
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
76% (243/319)68% (224/331)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.520.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.13
Total shots
139
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2914
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1121
Passes
76% (243/319)68% (224/331)
Long passes
42% (26/62)41% (37/90)
Passes in final third
63% (78/123)56% (55/99)
Crosses
24% (6/25)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.67
Throw-ins
1220
Fouls
2111
Tackles
78% (7/9)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4655
Clearances
3230
Interceptions
208
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.130.27
Goals prevented
0.130.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Cuesta B. 🟨,
  • 16:03, (Pen),
  • 44', Olmedo L. 🟨,
  • 45', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Illanes F. , Larios Saavedra G. A. ,
  • 60', Perez M. , Perez J. ,
  • 61', Martinez T. , Quagliata N. ,
  • 74', Vasquez C. , Gordillo A. ,
  • 74', Lazo M. , Ramos E. ,
  • 74', Bordacahar C. , Guzman L. ,
  • 80', Vidales J. , Liza P. ,
  • 82', Olmedo L. , Castro R. ,
  • 82', Benincasa H. , Espinosa R. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
39.8%
Draw
29.9%
FBC Melgar
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 27.1% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 26.5% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.33)
    3.13
    (3.45)
    3.06
    (2.85)
    6.7%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Melgar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    23.02.2025 FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético 2:1
    25.07.2024 Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar 3:1
    10.02.2024 FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético 1:0
    15.09.2023 FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético 4:0
    24.04.2023 Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar 3:3
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1073018:81024
    2Cusco961213:8519
    3Deportivo Garcilaso1046014:8618
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5AD Tarma1051411:12-116
    6Alianza Lima1043315:11415
    7Cienciano1043316:13315
    8FBC Melgar1135316:13314
    9Grau1042415:13214
    10Sport Huancayo1133517:19-212
    11Comerciantes Unidos1033411:15-412
    12Los Chankas840412:20-812
    13Alianza Atl92436:4210
    14Juan Pablo II92438:10-210
    15Ayacucho103168:14-610
    16Alianza Huanuco1031611:18-710
    17Sport Boys112368:15-79
    18Cajamarca90366:14-83
    19Binacional00000:000

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