Adanaspor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana).

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 29
Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.03
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Goal Attempts
13	7
Shots on Goal
5	5
Shots off Goal
4	1
Blocked Shots
4	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	3
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
Free Kicks
13	11
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
11	13
Yellow Cards
3	1
Throw-ins
38	15
Touches in the Opposition Box
16	16
Passes
70% (289/411)	65% (222/344)
Passes in the final third
55% (89/161)	59% (65/110)
Crosses
17% (4/24)	36% (4/11)
Tackles
58% (7/12)	71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
19	42
Interceptions
6	12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Cekici E. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Djilobodji P. ⚽, Wesley Moraes (A),
45+2', Durmaz E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', Cikalleshi S. ↓, Ivan A. ↑,
71', Tintis E. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Ivan A. ⚽, Cihan M. (A),
77', 1 - 2, Doh M. ⚽,
80', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
83', Cekici E. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
83', Candeias D. ↓, Cinar O. ↑,
83', Johnson D. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
83', Camacho J. ↓, Dovedan N. ↑,
88', Mert M. ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
90+6', Ciss A. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,
90+11', Serginho ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
90+12', Alpsoy H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Adanaspor
26.7%

Draw
28%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

26.6%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

26.6%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adanaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fatih Karagümrükspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fatih Karagümrükspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (4.14)	3.31 ↓ (3.48)	2.06 ↑ (1.81)	7.4% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
Recent matches Adanaspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Karagümrük is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Karagümrük will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

How many head-to-head matches has Adanaspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?

Adanaspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Adanaspor?

Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:

25.10.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adanaspor 4:0

Latest results of Adanaspor

05.03.2025 Şanlıurfaspor - Adanaspor 1:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Adanaspor - Ankaragücü 2:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Çorum - Adanaspor 1:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Adanaspor - Umraniyespor 1:1 ✺

12.02.2025 Keçiörengücü - Adanaspor 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor

05.03.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Bandırmaspor 1:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Sakaryaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:3 ✺

26.02.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Iskenderunspor 1:2 ✺

22.02.2025 İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:0 ✺

17.02.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Şanlıurfaspor 1:1 ✺

Turkish First League Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kocaelispor ✔	38	21	9	8	68:41	27	72
2	Genclerbirligi ✔	38	19	11	8	57:34	23	68
3	Karagumruk ✔	38	19	9	10	55:36	19	66
4	Istanbulspor AS ✔	38	20	4	14	67:38	29	64
5	Bandirmaspor ✔	38	17	13	8	52:45	7	64
6	Erzurumspor ✔	38	19	7	12	53:31	22	64
7	Boluspor ✔	38	17	10	11	66:40	26	61
8	Igdir FK	38	16	10	12	57:33	24	58
9	Amedspor	38	14	15	9	43:35	8	57
10	Corum	38	14	12	12	49:45	4	54
11	Umraniyespor	38	14	11	13	48:42	6	53
12	Erokspor	38	13	13	12	53:50	3	52
13	Sakaryaspor	38	13	12	13	48:54	-6	51
14	Keciorengucu	38	14	9	15	60:53	7	51
15	Manisa FK	38	14	6	18	50:52	-2	48
16	Pendikspor	38	13	9	16	45:51	-6	48
17	Ankaragucu ✔	38	14	6	18	49:48	1	48
18	Sanliurfaspor ✔	38	11	7	20	45:55	-10	40
19	Adanaspor AS ✔	38	7	9	22	32:75	-43	30
20	Yeni Malatyaspor ✔	38	0	0	38	14:153	-139	-21

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Kocaelispor is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super Lig
Genclerbirligi is Qualified for Super Lig
Karagumruk is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Final)
Istanbulspor AS is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Bandirmaspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Erzurumspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Boluspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Ankaragucu is Relegated to
Sanliurfaspor is Relegated to
Adanaspor AS is Relegated to
Yeni Malatyaspor is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor