Vitoria Guimarães vs Farense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Vitoria Guimarães - Farense
11/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Vitoria Guimarães - Farense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães 59.4%Draw 23.8%Farense 16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Vitoria Guimarães 56.7%Draw 24.6%Farense 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Vitoria Guimarães 58.6%Draw 23.8%Farense 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Farense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.66)
    3.93
    (3.83)
    5.57
    (5.05)
    6.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Farense?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
    • Guimarães is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Farense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Guimarães may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Guimarães is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Guimarães will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Farense were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Farense - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2
    13.04.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Farense 1:1
    02.12.2023 Farense - Vitoria Guimarães 1:2
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Farense
    03.05.2025 Farense - Famalicão 2:1
    26.04.2025 Gil Vicente - Farense 1:0
    18.04.2025 Farense - Boavista 0:1
    07.04.2025 Farense - Casa Pia 0:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP32246285:265978
    2Benfica32253482:265678
    3FC Porto32205760:293165
    4Braga32198553:272665
    5Vitoria Guimaraes321412646:331354
    6Santa Clara321561132:30251
    7Famalicao3211111041:36544
    8Casa Pia321191236:41-542
    9Estoril321191242:51-942
    10Moreirense32991437:48-1136
    11Rio Ave32991435:51-1636
    12Arouca328101430:47-1734
    13Nacional32961729:44-1533
    14Gil Vicente32881632:45-1332
    15Estrela32781724:45-2129
    16SC Farense32591822:43-2124
    17Boavista32662022:53-3124
    18AFS324121624:57-3324

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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