Falkirk vs Hibernian: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Scottish Premier League Falkirk - Hibernian
Result
2:2
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Round 3
Falkirk - Hibernian - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.102.79
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
79% (325/414)80% (308/386)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.102.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.523.32
Total shots
716
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1423
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
79% (325/414)80% (308/386)
Long passes
44% (29/66)41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
58% (65/113)62% (50/81)
Crosses
39% (9/23)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.371.07
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
1113
Tackles
46% (6/13)83% (10/12)
Duels won
5148
Clearances
2120
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
3.322.52
Goals prevented
1.320.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Boyle M. (Pen),
  • 41', Bowie K. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 2, McGrath J. , Bowie K. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, MacIver R. , Williams E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Bowie K. , Klidje T. ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Henderson L. , Williams E. (A),
  • 68', Spencer B. 🟨,
  • 74', Tait D. , Arfield S. ,
  • 74', Miller C. , Agyeman A. ,
  • 75', MacIver R. , Graham B. ,
  • 75', Chaiwa M. 🟨,
  • 80', Boyle M. , Hoilett J. ,
  • 80', Chaiwa M. , Cadden Ch. ,
  • 86', Barlaser D. , Levitt D. ,
  • 86', McGrath J. , Campbell J. ,
  • 87', Williams E. , Oliver G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Falkirk
26.1%
Draw
27.5%
Hibernian
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.7% 26.8% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26% 26.5% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Falkirk - Hibernian Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.97
    (3.63)
    3.65
    (3.48)
    2.14
    (1.97)
    -0.6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Falkirk - Hibernian?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Falkirk will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Hibernian will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hibernian: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hibernian (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to european competitions.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Falkirk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Hibernian might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Falkirk: Donaldson C. (Inactive) Lang T. (Inactive) Ross E. (Injury) Sneddon J. (Inactive) Stewart B. (Injury) Yeats F. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Hibernian: Newell J. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
    Latest results of Falkirk
    13.09.2025 Falkirk - St. Mirren 1:2
    31.08.2025 Aberdeen - Falkirk 0:1
    15.08.2025 Celtic - Falkirk 4:1
    09.08.2025 Livingston - Falkirk 3:1
    03.08.2025 Falkirk - Dundee United 2:2
    Latest results of Hibernian
    13.09.2025 Hibernian - Dundee United 3:3
    31.08.2025 Hibernian - St. Mirren 1:1
    28.08.2025 Legia Warsaw - Hibernian 3:3
    21.08.2025 Hibernian - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    Scottish Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hearts761016:61019
    2Celtic752011:3817
    3Kilmarnock724111:8310
    4Dundee Utd723212:1119
    5St. Mirren72325:6-19
    6Motherwell715111:1018
    7Hibernian715110:1008
    8Rangers71516:7-18
    9Livingston813410:14-46
    10Falkirk71338:13-56
    11Dundee FC81346:13-76
    12Aberdeen71154:9-54

          Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
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