Hearts vs Falkirk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
3:0
13/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premiership - Championship Group - Round 37
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
Hearts - Falkirk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.590.30
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
41
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
55
Passes
74% (339/456)61% (143/236)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
0.590.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.12
Total shots
124
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
73
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
176
Passes
74% (339/456)61% (143/236)
Long passes
40% (32/81)26% (15/57)
Passes in final third
65% (100/155)59% (40/68)
Crosses
17% (4/24)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.36
Throw ins
4816
Fouls
617
Tackles
76% (13/17)68% (15/22)
Duels won
7261
Clearances
2850
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.121.93
Goals prevented
0.12-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', Spittal B. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Kent F. , Kyziridis A. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 0, Devlin C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Milne H. , Kingsley S. ,
  • 46', Tait D. , MacIver R. ,
  • 46', Wilson K. , Parkinson B. ,
  • 52', Miller C. 🟨,
  • 56', Miller C. , Ross E. ,
  • 67', Devlin C. , Altena J. ,
  • 75', Yeats F. , Cartwright H. ,
  • 76', Spencer B. 🟨,
  • 82', Henderson L. 🟨,
  • 83', Kyziridis A. , Kerjota S. ,
  • 83', Braga C. , Kabore P. ,
  • 86', 3 - 0, Spittal B. , Steinwender M. (A),
  • 90+3', Spittal B. , Forrest A. ,

Chances of winning


Hearts
65.5%
Draw
20.3%
Falkirk
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 23.8% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7% 22.8% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hearts's performance.
  • Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hearts that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Hearts - Falkirk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.63)
    4.64
    (3.9)
    6.67
    (4.87)
    5.7%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hearts - Falkirk?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1 - Hearts (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Hearts will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 1 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 3.
    • Hearts is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Falkirk's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Hearts is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Thigh Injury) Gordon C. (Shoulder Injury) Magnusson T. (Broken cheekbone) McEntee O. (Injury) Nieuwenhof C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Falkirk: Marsh L. (Thigh Injury) Williams E. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hearts: Milne H. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Falkirk: Lissah F. (Injury) McCann L. (Injury)
    • We predict that Hearts will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Falkirk were as follows:
    21.02.2026 Hearts - Falkirk 1:0
    17.01.2026 Hearts - Falkirk 1:2
    13.12.2025 Falkirk - Hearts 0:2
    27.09.2025 Hearts - Falkirk 3:0
    17.08.2024 Falkirk - Hearts 2:0
    Latest results of Hearts
    09.05.2026 Motherwell - Hearts 1:1
    04.05.2026 Hearts - Glasgow Rangers 2:1
    26.04.2026 Hibernian - Hearts 1:2
    11.04.2026 Hearts - Motherwell 3:1
    05.04.2026 Livingston - Hearts 2:2
    Latest results of Falkirk
    09.05.2026 Falkirk - Hibernian 1:3
    02.05.2026 Falkirk - Motherwell 1:0
    25.04.2026 Celtic - Falkirk 3:1
    12.04.2026 Falkirk - Glasgow Rangers 3:6
    Draw
    Relegation

    Quarter-finals
    1St. MirrenBye
    3Partick ThistleBye
    4ArbroathDunfermline0 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1St. MirrenBye
    2Partick ThistleDunfermline2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1St. MirrenPartick Thistle
    Which TV channels are streaming of Hearts - Falkirk?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
    irelandIrelandNOW
    italyItalyComo TV
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, Falkirk TV, Hearts TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
    usaUsaParamount+
    worldWorldOnefootball
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