Result
2:1
06/08/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS
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Chances of winning
Sousa
51.4% | Draw
26.7% | Falcon
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Sousa - Falcon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75
(1.75) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
4.1 ↓
(4.3) |
11.4%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sousa - Falcon?
Users Predictions:
Sousa will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- Sousa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Falcon is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Sousa will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Sousa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sousa won against Falcon?
Sousa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Falcon won against Sousa?
Falcon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - Falcon were as follows:
29.07.2023
Falcon
-
Sousa
1:1
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manauara | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Independencia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 4 | Aguia De Maraba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Manaus | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Trem | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | GAS | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Humaita | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8:37 | -29 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AE Altos | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Imperatriz | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
| 3 | Sampaio Correa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Maranhao | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Tocantinopolis | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 6 | Iguatu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Parnahyba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Maracana | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Cruz | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Central SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | America RN | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 |
| 6 | Sousa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Treze PB | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
| 8 | Horizonte | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | Sergipe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Juazeirense | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 18 |
| 4 | Jequie | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Lagarto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 8 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aparecidense | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 18 | 25 |
| 2 | Ceilandia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Luverdense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 20 |
| 4 | Mixto | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Capital | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Goiania | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 7 | Goianesia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 8 | Porto Velho | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Rio Branco ES | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Marica | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Agua Santa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Pouso Alegre | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Nova Iguacu | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Porto Vitoria | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Boavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 9 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Limeira | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Cianorte | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Uberlandia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Cascavel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Monte Azul | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Operario MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 9 |
| 8 | Itabirito | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8:15 | -7 | 9 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barra FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Joinville | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | EC Sao Jose | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Guarany de Bage | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 12 |
| 6 | Azuriz | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Brasil de Pelotas | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Sao Luiz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
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