Fakel vs Volga Ulyanovsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Russian FNL Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FNL - Round 13
  • Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)
Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
44
Free Kicks
1623

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Umnikov M. ,
  • 32', Alshin I. , Motpan N. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Pusi B. (Pen),
  • 45', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
  • 45', Umnikov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Rudenko V. , Kamenshchikov D. ,
  • 59', Gongadze G. , Turishchev M. ,
  • 59', Magomedov B. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 68', Umnikov M. , Kostin A. ,
  • 68', Gershun I. , Murza A. ,
  • 80', Kovalev A. 🟨,
  • 81', Pusi B. , Abdokov N. ,
  • 82', Bagamaev A. , Simonov K. ,
  • 84', Voronin E. , Yakovlev V. ,
  • 85', Krasilnichenko O. , Gutsa A. ,
  • 90+2', Obukhov I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fakel
59.5%
Draw
26%
Volga Ulyanovsk
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 25% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 24.5% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.55)
    3.63
    (3.79)
    6.52
    (6.71)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 13).
    • Recent performances by Fakel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Volga Ulyanovsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Volga Ulyanovsk has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Fakel is the undisputed favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Fakel
    Latest results of Volga Ulyanovsk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. Kostroma1384121:12928
    2Fakel Voronezh1383212:8427
    3Ural1373321:15624
    4Chelyabinsk1365218:10823
    5R. Volgograd1364318:71122
    6Kamaz1364321:14722
    7Rodina Moscow1355319:13620
    8SKA Khabarovsk1354415:14119
    9Neftekhimik1346313:13018
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1345410:10017
    11Arsenal Tula1336418:16215
    12Chernomorets Novorossijsk1343618:17115
    13Ulyanovsk1333713:23-1012
    14Ufa1326513:14-112
    15Yenisey132567:14-711
    16Saratov131666:14-89
    17Torpedo Moscow132388:20-129
    18FK Chayka131579:26-178

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation

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