Result
0:2
20/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - Round 25
- Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (221/308) | 68% (189/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 28 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (221/308) | 68% (189/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (43/85) | 42% (30/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (92/134) | 54% (50/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 80% (8/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 66 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 56 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Golenkov E. ⚽, Shchetinin K. (A),
- 43', Mertens D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Brahimi M. 🟨,
- 45+4', Komarov I. 🟨,
- 45+5', Golenkov E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mertens D. ↓, Lomovitskiy A. ↑,
- 48', Komarov I. ↓, Bayramyan K. ↑,
- 56', Bayramyan K. 🟨,
- 61', Yurganov I. 🟨,
- 62', Brahimi M. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
- 63', Yatimov R. ↓, Odoevski D. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, Kuchaev K. ⚽, Komlichenko N. (A),
- 78', Kalinin I. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
- 78', Dziov M. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
- 82', Shchetinin K. ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
- 86', Sako O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Golenkov E. ↓, Mironov A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fakel
27.7% | Draw
28.4% | Rostov
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Fakel - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↓
(3.5) |
3.37 ↓
(3.4) |
2.17 ↓
(2.3) |
4.7%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fakel - Rostov?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Fakel will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Rostov will win (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fakel won 0.
- Fakel has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Rostov is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Rostov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Rostov will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Rostov: El Askalany E.
(Knee Injury)
Vakhania I.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Fakel won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fakel won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Rostov?
Fakel has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Fakel?
Rostov has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Rostov were as follows:
01.09.2024
Rostov
-
Fakel
4:1
13.07.2024
Fakel
-
Rostov
1:1
27.06.2024
Fakel
-
Rostov
0:1
14.04.2024
Fakel
-
Rostov
0:1
23.07.2023
Rostov
-
Fakel
2:1
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Akhmat Grozny | Ural | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pari NN | Sochi | 1 : 3, 2 : 1 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Fakel - Rostov?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
