Blake Ellis vs Fajing Sun: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis Challenger Men Singles Brisbane 2 Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun
Result
2:1
09/02/2026 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/16-finals
Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
2014
Double Faults
40
1st serve percentage
57%58%
1st serve points won
80% (48/60)80% (49/61)
2nd serve points won
52% (24/46)53% (24/45)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)78% (7/9)
1st return points won
20% (12/61)25% (15/60)
2nd return points won
47% (21/45)48% (22/46)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)40% (2/5)
Winners
5339
Unforced errors
4718
Net points won
79% (11/14)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
68% (71/105)70% (73/105)
Return Points Won
30% (32/105)32% (34/105)
Total Points Won
49% (103/210)51% (107/210)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
88% (14/16)88% (15/17)
Return games won
12% (2/17)13% (2/16)
Total games won
48% (16/33)52% (17/33)

Chances of winning


Blake Ellis
55.8%
Fajing Sun
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 51.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blake Ellis that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajing Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.62)

    2.11
    (2.17)
    7.1%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun?
    • Users Predictions: Blake Ellis will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Blake Ellis will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Ellis is ranked ATP: 518. Sun is ranked ATP: 273.
    • Ellis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sun has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ellis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun were as follows:
    05.02.2026 Fajing Sun - Blake Ellis 0:2
    Latest results of Blake Ellis
    Latest results of Fajing Sun
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mackenzie J. (LL)Polmans M.1 : 2
    2Matsuoka H.Delaney Ja.2 : 0
    3Marinkov P. (WC)Zhang Z.0 : 2
    4Hewitt C. (WC)Uchiyama Y. (9)0 : 2
    5Sakamoto R. (3)Mochizuki Y. (Q)2 : 0
    6Sinclair C. (Q)Hulme M. (LL)2 : 1
    7Tu L.Nakagawa N. (Q)2 : 1
    8Ellis B.Sun F. (7)2 : 1
    9Blanch Dar. (8)Denolly C.2 : 0
    10Weber A.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 1
    11Jasika O.Shiraishi H.2 : 1
    12Isomura K. (Q)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    13Zhou Y. (6)Sach T. (WC)1 : 2
    14Bouzige M.Moriya H.0 : 2
    15Dellavedova M. (Q)Imamura M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Daniel T.Sweeny D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Polmans M.Matsuoka H.1 : 2
    2Zhang Z.Uchiyama Y. (9)2 : 0
    3Sakamoto R. (3)Sinclair C.2 : 0
    4Tu L.Ellis B.2 : 0
    5Blanch Dar. (8)Weber A.2 : 0
    6Jasika O. (RET.)Bolt A. (4)0 : 1
    7Sach T.Moriya H.1 : 2
    8Imamura M.Sweeny D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Matsuoka H.Zhang Z.0 : 2
    2Sakamoto R. (3)Tu L.2 : 0
    3Blanch Dar. (8)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    4Moriya H.Sweeny D. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Zhang Z.Sakamoto R. (3)2 : 0
    2Bolt A. (4)Moriya H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Zhang Z.Bolt A. (4)2 : 0
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