Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama
Result
0:1
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 21
Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.74
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
88% (495/565)69% (119/173)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.35
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
22
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
145
Passes
88% (495/565)69% (119/173)
Long passes
51% (24/47)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
83% (165/199)70% (60/86)
Crosses
24% (5/21)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.61
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
514
Tackles
67% (8/12)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
2531
Interceptions
1214
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.350.89
Goals prevented
0.350.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Lucao , Kamiya Yuta (A),
  • 45+6', Matsumoto M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Matsumoto M. , Yanagi T. ,
  • 58', Esaka A. , Iwabuchi H. ,
  • 66', Kamiya Yuta , Takeuchi R. ,
  • 70', Tono D. , Watanabe K. ,
  • 70', Elber , Inoue K. ,
  • 71', Takeuchi R. 🟨,
  • 83', Lucao , Werik Popo ,
  • 83', Sato R. , Motoyama H. ,
  • 87', Kida T. , Amano J. ,
  • 90', Yan , Watanabe T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
43.5%
Draw
27.4%
Fagiano Okayama
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 27.4% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27.8% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama F. Marinos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fagiano Okayama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.48)
    3.46
    (3.49)
    3.25
    (2.82)
    4.5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Okayama has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Miyaichi R. (Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Suwama K. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yokohama FM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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