Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama
Result
0:1
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 21
Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.74
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
88% (495/565)69% (119/173)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.35
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
22
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
145
Passes
88% (495/565)69% (119/173)
Long passes
51% (24/47)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
83% (165/199)70% (60/86)
Crosses
24% (5/21)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.61
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
514
Tackles
67% (8/12)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
2531
Interceptions
1214
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.350.89
Goals prevented
0.350.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Lucao , Kamiya Yuta (A),
  • 45+6', Matsumoto M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Matsumoto M. , Yanagi T. ,
  • 58', Esaka A. , Iwabuchi H. ,
  • 66', Kamiya Yuta , Takeuchi R. ,
  • 70', Tono D. , Watanabe K. ,
  • 70', Elber , Inoue K. ,
  • 71', Takeuchi R. 🟨,
  • 83', Lucao , Werik Popo ,
  • 83', Sato R. , Motoyama H. ,
  • 87', Kida T. , Amano J. ,
  • 90', Yan , Watanabe T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
43.5%
Draw
27.4%
Fagiano Okayama
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 27.4% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27.8% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama F. Marinos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fagiano Okayama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.48)
    3.46
    (3.49)
    3.25
    (2.82)
    4.5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Okayama will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Okayama has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Miyaichi R. (Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Suwama K. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yokohama FM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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