Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 9
Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.45
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
67% (191/283)79% (386/486)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.00
Total shots
613
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1725
Through passes
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
109
Passes
67% (191/283)79% (386/486)
Long passes
28% (13/47)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
62% (70/113)66% (83/126)
Crosses
5% (1/22)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.01
Fouls
910
Tackles
40% (6/15)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4764
Clearances Total
2826
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.000.10
Goals prevented
0.66-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
  • 41', Fujii K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fujii K. , Tabei R. ,
  • 59', Tawaratsumida K. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 59', Ichimi K. , Lucao ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Tabei R. ,
  • 63', Nakagawa T. , Kitahara M. ,
  • 63', Hashimoto K. , Higashi K. ,
  • 78', Esaka A. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 81', Anzai S. , Oka T. ,
  • 81', Sato K. , Yamashita K. ,
  • 85', Abe K. , Yanagi Y. ,
  • 86', Kimura T. , Iwabuchi H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
37.6%
Draw
31.3%
Tokyo
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 30.5% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 30% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.32)
    2.99
    (3.08)
    3.03
    (3.25)
    6.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).
    • Okayama is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Tokyo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Okayama will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Inactive) Baek I. (Hamstring Injury) Morishige M. (Injury) Nagatomo Y. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Tokyo
    02.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Tokyo 2:2
    29.03.2025 Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3
    20.03.2025 Nara Club - Tokyo 0:1
    15.03.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo 1:0
    08.03.2025 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:0
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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