Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo
Result
1:0
06/04/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 9
Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.45
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
67% (191/283)79% (386/486)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.101.00
Total shots
613
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1725
Through passes
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
109
Passes
67% (191/283)79% (386/486)
Long passes
28% (13/47)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
62% (70/113)66% (83/126)
Crosses
5% (1/22)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.01
Fouls
910
Tackles
40% (6/15)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4764
Clearances Total
2826
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.000.10
Goals prevented
0.66-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
  • 41', Fujii K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fujii K. , Tabei R. ,
  • 59', Tawaratsumida K. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 59', Ichimi K. , Lucao ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Tabei R. ,
  • 63', Nakagawa T. , Kitahara M. ,
  • 63', Hashimoto K. , Higashi K. ,
  • 78', Esaka A. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 81', Anzai S. , Oka T. ,
  • 81', Sato K. , Yamashita K. ,
  • 85', Abe K. , Yanagi Y. ,
  • 86', Kimura T. , Iwabuchi H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
37.6%
Draw
31.3%
Tokyo
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 30.5% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 30% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.32)
    2.99
    (3.08)
    3.03
    (3.25)
    6.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tokyo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).
    • Okayama is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Tokyo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Okayama will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Inactive) Baek I. (Hamstring Injury) Morishige M. (Injury) Nagatomo Y. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Tokyo
    02.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Tokyo 2:2
    29.03.2025 Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3
    20.03.2025 Nara Club - Tokyo 0:1
    15.03.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo 1:0
    08.03.2025 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:0
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds2297628:23534
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare23661119:33-1424
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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