Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (275/395) | 61% (178/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (275/395) | 61% (178/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (34/75) | 27% (21/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (89/151) | 48% (45/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Tabei R. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Duke M. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
- 46', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 49', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
- 58', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
- 58', Masuyama A. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
- 60', Suzuki Y. ↓, Kudo K. ↑,
- 60', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 78', Esaka A. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
- 82', Nishimura T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 90+3', Hayashi K. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Shoji G. ⚽, Oh Se-Hun (A),
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
56.6% | Draw
25.3% | Fagiano Okayama
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.59) |
3.73 ↓
(3.91) |
5.26 ↓
(5.53) |
5.5%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 2.
- Machida Zelvia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Okayama has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Okayama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Injury)
Mae H.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Okayama: Sato R.
(International duty)
Tatsuta Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Okamura D.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Fagiano Okayama?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Machida Zelvia?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
25.05.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Machida Zelvia
2:2
05.08.2023
Fagiano Okayama
-
Machida Zelvia
1:3
07.05.2023
Machida Zelvia
-
Fagiano Okayama
1:1
04.09.2022
Fagiano Okayama
-
Machida Zelvia
2:0
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
