Fagiano Okayama vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia
Result
2:2
25/05/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 18
Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.32
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
65% (197/303)68% (264/386)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.460.73
Total shots
910
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
128
Passes
65% (197/303)68% (264/386)
Long passes
26% (21/80)41% (38/93)
Passes in final third
51% (53/104)62% (90/146)
Crosses
36% (4/11)36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.39
Throw-ins
2236
Fouls
812
Tackles
61% (11/18)63% (10/16)
Duels won
6172
Clearances
4720
Interceptions
42
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.731.46
Goals prevented
-1.40-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Ichimi K. , Sato R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Fujio S. , Numata T. ,
  • 55', 2 - 0, Kimura T. , Tabei R. (A),
  • 62', Ichimi K. , Lucao ,
  • 62', Sento K. , Shimoda H. ,
  • 62', Na Sang-Ho , Soma Y. ,
  • 63', Oh Se-Hun , Duke M. ,
  • 72', Kimura T. , Iwabuchi H. ,
  • 72', Esaka A. , Matsumoto M. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Soma Y. , Nishimura T. (A),
  • 81', 2 - 2, Duke M. , Soma Y. (A),
  • 84', Tabei R. , Takeuchi R. ,
  • 84', Sato R. , Browne N. ,
  • 90+1', Nishimura T. , Kuwayama K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
24.5%
Draw
31.6%
Machida Zelvia
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 31.5% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 31.5% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (3.75)
    2.99
    (2.88)
    2.15
    (2.05)
    5.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Okayama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Machida Zelvia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Okayama: Suzuki Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Injury) Nakayama Y. (Concussion) Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    05.08.2023 Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia 1:3
    07.05.2023 Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama 1:1
    04.09.2022 Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia 2:0
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds24108632:24838
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2488821:23-232
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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