Fagiano Okayama vs Kashima Antlers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers
Result
1:2
20/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 11
Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.50
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
65% (193/299)76% (307/406)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.221.19
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1820
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
65% (193/299)76% (307/406)
Long passes
17% (10/60)37% (24/65)
Passes in final third
61% (72/119)61% (71/117)
Crosses
7% (1/14)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.99
Fouls
1510
Tackles
69% (9/13)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5349
Clearances Total
3130
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.192.22
Goals prevented
-0.811.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Kudo K. 🟨,
  • 21', Suzuki Y. (Pen),
  • 43', 1 - 0, Sato R. ,
  • 45+6', Tsukui K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Cavric A. , Tsukui K. (A),
  • 60', Tatsuta Y. , Yanagi Y. ,
  • 60', Tabei R. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 67', Kimura T. , Ichimi K. ,
  • 67', Chinen K. , Misao K. ,
  • 67', Araki R. , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 67', Shibasaki G. , Funabashi Y. ,
  • 72', Morooka S. , Talles Brener ,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Talles Brener , Cavric A. (A),
  • 75', Fujita I. 🟨,
  • 75', Fujita I. , Fujii K. ,
  • 75', Lucao , Gleyson ,
  • 88', Cavric A. , Kim Tae-Hyeon ,
  • 90+7', Kamiya Yuta 🟨,
  • 90+8', Gleyson 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fagiano Okayama
34%
Draw
29.7%
Kashima Antlers
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 29.1% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 27.7% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (3)
    3.17
    (3.23)
    2.61
    (2.37)
    6.2%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Kashima will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).
    • Recent matches Okayama is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Kashima is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Kashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Kashima: Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • There are questionable in Okayama: Tabei R. (Injury) Tagami D. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Okayama won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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