Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 1.24 |
Ball Possession |
---|
68% | 32% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
79% (408/517) | 59% (138/234) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.21 | 1.24 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.07 | 0.97 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
79% (408/517) | 59% (138/234) |
Long passes |
---|
25% (15/61) | 40% (21/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (63/116) | 45% (41/92) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (4/16) | 5% (1/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.80 | 0.86 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 26 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (5/8) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
36 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.97 | 1.07 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.03 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Ichimi K. ⚽, Motoyama H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Hayakawa F. 🟨,
- 56', Kimura T. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 61', Ono Y. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
- 61', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Shirai E. ⚽, Okumura J. (A),
- 74', Shimamura T. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
- 75', Motoyama H. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 75', Ichimi K. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 75', Tagami D. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
- 83', Miyamoto E. 🟨,
- 84', Hayakawa F. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
- 84', Okumura J. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
- 88', Miyamoto E. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 90+1', Esaka A. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
- 90+3', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
- 90+7', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata 35.5% | Draw 30.5% | Fagiano Okayama 33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)The chances for Fagiano Okayama have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.65 ↑ (2.58) |
3.1 ↓ (3.31) |
2.78 ↓ (2.83) |
6% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Okayama (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
- Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Okayama: Sato R.
(International duty)
Tatsuta Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Fagiano Okayama?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Albirex Niigata?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
18.05.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Albirex Niigata
2:1
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 49 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Which TV channels are streaming of Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |