Belenenses vs Fafe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Portuguese Liga 3 Belenenses - Fafe
Result
3:2
04/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 12
Belenenses - Fafe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
05
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Sambu M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Nandinho ,
  • 58', Leite T. 🟨,
  • 62', Braga V. , Amorim J. ,
  • 62', Bruninho , Picas ,
  • 67', Tavares J. , Fernandes X. ,
  • 67', Horta Leitao D. , Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ,
  • 67', Cardoso F. , Farias E. ,
  • 68', Nandinho , Vigario J. ,
  • 75', Amorim J. 🟨,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ,
  • 77', Batista J. 🟨,
  • 79', Sambu M. , Cuca ,
  • 79', Serra Matos P. M. , Kodama R. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Pereira R. ,
  • 90+1', Pereira R. , Varela J. ,
  • 90+1', Brasido D. , Gabriel Passos ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+6', 3 - 2, Leite T. ,
  • 90+9', Ribeiro Oliveira J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Belenenses
38.6%
Draw
29.6%
Fafe
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 29.7% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 29.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Belenenses - Fafe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.42)
    3.12
    (3.09)
    2.92
    (2.84)
    8.1%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Fafe were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Fafe - Belenenses 0:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    26.04.2025 Varzim - Belenenses 0:0
    13.04.2025 Belenenses - 1 Dezembro 2:0
    05.04.2025 Atlético CP - Belenenses 2:2
    29.03.2025 Lusitânia - Belenenses 1:0
    Latest results of Fafe
    26.04.2025 Fafe - Atlético CP 2:0
    20.04.2025 Lusitânia - Fafe 2:1
    13.04.2025 Fafe - Amarante 1:1
    05.04.2025 1 Dezembro - Fafe 1:0
    29.03.2025 Fafe - Varzim 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B73317:6112
    2Sanjoanense725010:7311
    3Trofense632110:4611
    4Varzim62319:549
    5Paredes71518:718
    6AD Marco 0971513:4-18
    7Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    8AD Fafe61325:9-46
    9Amarante61235:7-25
    10Sao Joao Ver70434:12-84


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses63126:7-110
    3Mafra62317:709
    41u00ba Dezembro62316:609
    5Academica63038:539
    6Santarem72234:7-38
    7Lusitano GC62138:627
    8Amora62135:6-17
    9Covilha61324:5-16
    10Atletico CP62044:6-26

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Belenenses - Fafe?
    It is being streamed on channel
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