Fafe vs Amarante: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Portuguese Liga 3 Fafe - Amarante
Result
3:0
10/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 3 - Round 5
Fafe - Amarante - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
172
Shots on target
120
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
04
Red Cards
02
Total shots
172
Shots on target
120
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Santos J. , Picas (A),
  • 16', Lawrence 🟨,
  • 23', Lawrence 🟨,
  • 35', Ribeiro O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Pedro R. 🟨,
  • 48', Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 🟥,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Santos J. ,
  • 59', Santos J. , Fonseca T. ,
  • 59', Teixeira L. , Pinto G. ,
  • 66', Pedro R. , Antunes Tiago C. J. ,
  • 66', Ribeiro O. , Vivas S. ,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Ka , Vigario J. (A),
  • 70', Ka , Carlos Daniel ,
  • 70', Ribeiro Oliveira J. , Veiga T. ,
  • 75', Amorim J. , Teixeira T. ,
  • 79', Helder Pedro , Rodrigues D. ,

Chances of winning


Fafe
63.7%
Draw
24.1%
Amarante
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 28% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28.2% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fafe's performance.
  • Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amarante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-15%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fafe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amarante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fafe - Amarante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.89)
    4.63
    (3.31)
    9.18
    (4.05)
    -10.5%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Fafe - Amarante?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fafe (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Fafe will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:-1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Fafe could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fafe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fafe - Amarante were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Fafe - Amarante 1:1
    16.02.2025 Amarante - Fafe 1:3
    18.01.2025 Amarante - Fafe 0:0
    06.10.2024 Fafe - Amarante 4:1
    08.09.2024 Fafe - Amarante 1:4
    Latest results of Fafe
    05.10.2025 Fafe - São João de Ver 2:0
    28.09.2025 Varzim - Fafe 1:1
    21.09.2025 Oriental - Fafe 0:1
    13.09.2025 Trofense - Fafe 5:1
    24.08.2025 Fafe - Marco 09 0:0
    Latest results of Amarante
    05.10.2025 Braga B - Amarante 1:0
    14.09.2025 Marco 09 - Amarante 1:0
    31.08.2025 Tirsense - Amarante 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense742112:5714
    2Braga B73317:6112
    3Sanjoanense725010:7311
    4Varzim723210:739
    5AD Fafe72328:9-19
    6Paredes71518:718
    7AD Marco 0971513:4-18
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    9Amarante71245:10-55
    10Sao Joao Ver70434:12-84


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses74129:7213
    3Mafra73319:7212
    4Academica740310:5512
    5Atletico CP73048:629
    61u00ba Dezembro72326:10-49
    7Santarem72234:7-38
    8Lusitano GC72148:807
    9Amora72145:8-37
    10Covilha71334:8-46

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Fafe - Amarante?
    It is being streamed on channel
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
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