Daniel Rincon vs Facundo Diaz Acosta: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Diaz Acosta Facundo AsRYv2m2 Daniel Rincon - Facundo Diaz Acosta
Result
1:2
04/07/2026 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - Semi-finals
Daniel Rincon - Facundo Diaz Acosta - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
42
1st serve percentage
61%62%
1st serve points won
68% (40/59)76% (41/54)
2nd serve points won
47% (18/38)55% (18/33)
Break Points Saved
11/142/4
1st return points won
24% (13/54)39% (23/59)
2nd return points won
45% (15/33)53% (20/38)
Break Points Converted
2/43/14
Service Points Won
60% (58/97)68% (59/87)
Return Points Won
32% (28/87)40% (39/97)
Total Points Won
47% (86/184)53% (98/184)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
79% (11/14)87% (13/15)
Return games won
13% (2/15)21% (3/14)
Total games won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Daniel Rincon
21.8%
Facundo Diaz Acosta
78.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 68.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Rincon's form might have worsened.
  • Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Rincon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Diaz Acosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Daniel Rincon - Facundo Diaz Acosta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.31
    (3.11)

    1.2
    (1.32)
    6.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 20.00
    What is the prediction for Daniel Rincon - Facundo Diaz Acosta?
    • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Rincon is ranked ATP: 261. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 120.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rincon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Diaz Acosta is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rincon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Rincon - Facundo Diaz Acosta were as follows:
    15.04.2024 Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniel Rincon 2:0
    Latest results of Daniel Rincon
    29.06.2026 Daniel Rincon - Jacopo Vasami Vasami J. Retired
    20.06.2026 Jamie Mackenzie - Daniel Rincon Canceled
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