Facundo Bagnis vs Shintaro Mochizuki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Cincinnati Facundo Bagnis - Shintaro Mochizuki
Result
1:2
05/08/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Facundo Bagnis - Shintaro Mochizuki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
76
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
64%46%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (33/54)82% (28/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
71% (22/31)55% (22/40)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
18% (6/34)39% (21/54)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (18/40)29% (9/31)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)33% (3/9)
Winners
1519
Unforced Errors
4140
Net Points Won
50% (5/10)79% (11/14)
Service Points Won
65% (55/85)68% (50/74)
Return Points Won
32% (24/74)35% (30/85)
Total Points Won
50% (79/159)50% (80/159)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Facundo Bagnis
35.7%
Shintaro Mochizuki
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Facundo Bagnis's form might have worsened.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shintaro Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Facundo Bagnis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Facundo Bagnis - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (1.9)

    1.49
    (1.9)
    4.3%
    (5.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Bagnis is ranked ATP: 689. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 122.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Bagnis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bagnis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Facundo Bagnis - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
    23.05.2024 Facundo Bagnis - Shintaro Mochizuki Bagnis F. retired
    Latest results of Facundo Bagnis
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Galan D. E. (Q)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Baez S.Goffin D.2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (30)
    5Machac T. (19)Bye
    6Thompson J.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    7Martinez P.Jarry N. (WC)2 : 1
    8ByePaul T. (13)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Rinderknech A.Borges N.2 : 0
    11Etcheverry T. M.Shang J.2 : 1
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (23)
    13Tsitsipas S. (25)Bye
    14Smith C. (Q)Marozsan F.1 : 2
    15Bonzi B.Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    16ByeMusetti L. (8)
    17Fritz T. (4)Bye
    18Coric B.Nava E. (Q)
    19Bergs Z.Fearnley J.2 : 0
    20ByeSonego L. (31)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Bye
    22Fonseca J.Bu Y.2 : 1
    23Atmane T. (Q)Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    24ByeCobolli F. (15)
    25Tiafoe F. (10)Bye
    26Carballes Baena R.Gaston H.2 : 1
    27Mpetshi Perricard G.Wong C. (Q)0 : 2
    28ByeHumbert U. (20)
    29Michelsen A. (28)Bye
    30Moutet C.McDonald M.2 : 0
    31Safiullin R.Tabilo A.2 : 0
    32ByeRune H. (7)
    33Shelton B. (5)Bye
    34Ugo Carabelli C.Nishikori K.
    35Altmaier D.Bautista-Agut R.
    36ByeNorrie C. (32)
    37Lehecka J. (22)Bye
    38Boyer T. (WC)Holt B. (WC)
    39Walton A.Navone M. (LL)
    40ByeMedvedev D. (12)
    41Khachanov K. (14)Bye
    42Ofner S. (PR)Royer V. (Q)
    43Brooksby J. (WC)Muller A.
    44ByeFils A. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Giron M.Blockx A. (Q)
    47Vukic A. (LL)Basavareddy N. (WC)
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Dellien H.Opelka R.
    51Comesana F.Munar J.
    52ByeDarderi L. (29)
    53Popyrin A. (21)Bye
    54Landaluce M. (Q)Kypson P. (Q)
    55Tien L.Riedi L. (Q)
    56ByeRublev A. (9)
    57Mensik J. (16)Bye
    58Kecmanovic M.Quinn E.
    59Nardi L. (LL)Tirante T. A. (Q)
    60ByeShapovalov D. (24)
    61Griekspoor T. (26)Bye
    62Medjedovic H.Kovacevic A.
    63Bellucci M.Dzumhur D.
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Galan D. E.
    2Baez S.Diallo G. (30)
    3Machac T. (19)Mannarino A.
    4Martinez P.Paul T. (13)
    5Ruud C. (11)Rinderknech A.
    6Etcheverry T. M.Auger-Aliassime F. (23)
    7Tsitsipas S. (25)Marozsan F.
    8Bonzi B.Musetti L. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)TBD #18
    10Bergs Z.Sonego L. (31)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (17)Fonseca J.
    12Atmane T.Cobolli F. (15)
    13Tiafoe F. (10)Carballes Baena R.
    14Wong C.Humbert U. (20)
    15Michelsen A. (28)Moutet C.
    16Safiullin R.Rune H. (7)
    17Shelton B. (5)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Norrie C. (32)
    19Lehecka J. (22)TBD #38
    20TBD #39Medvedev D. (12)
    21Khachanov K. (14)TBD #42
    22TBD #43Fils A. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (27)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Zverev A. (3)
    25De Minaur A. (6)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Darderi L. (29)
    27Popyrin A. (21)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Rublev A. (9)
    29Mensik J. (16)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Shapovalov D. (24)
    31Griekspoor T. (26)TBD #62
    32TBD #63Alcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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