Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Montreal Fabian Marozsan - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
1:2
05/08/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals
Fabian Marozsan - Matteo Arnaldi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
27
1st serve percentage
64%49%
1st serve points won
70% (38/54)78% (32/41)
2nd serve points won
65% (20/31)48% (20/42)
Break Points Saved
5/82/5
1st return points won
29% (12/41)33% (18/54)
2nd return points won
52% (22/42)35% (11/31)
Break Points Converted
3/53/8
Winners
00
Unforced errors
00
Net points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
68% (58/85)63% (52/83)
Return Points Won
37% (31/83)32% (27/85)
Total Points Won
53% (89/168)47% (79/168)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
10
Service games won
80% (12/15)80% (12/15)
Return games won
20% (3/15)20% (3/15)
Total games won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Fabian Marozsan
57.3%
Matteo Arnaldi
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Fabian Marozsan - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.62)

    2.24
    (2.3)
    4.5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
    What is the prediction for Fabian Marozsan - Matteo Arnaldi?
    • Users Predictions: Fabian Marozsan will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Marozsan is ranked ATP: 61. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 35.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Arnaldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Marozsan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marozsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fabian Marozsan - Matteo Arnaldi were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Matteo Arnaldi - Fabian Marozsan 2:0
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Sonego L.Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    3Mochizuki S. (Q)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4ByeArnaldi M. (30)
    5Humbert U. (24)Bye
    6Merida Aguilar D.Draxl L. (WC)2 : 1
    7Michelsen A.Struff J-L.2 : 1
    8ByeCerundolo F. (16)
    9Tien L. (12)Bye
    10Majchrzak K.Monfils G. (WC)0 : 2
    11Carreno-Busta P.Royer V.1 : 2
    12ByePaul T. (17)
    13Collignon R. (32)Bye
    14Popyrin A. (Q)Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    15Chan D. (Q)Tirante T. A.1 : 2
    16ByeFritz T. (7)
    17Medvedev D. (4)Bye
    18Mpetshi Perricard G.Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
    19Hurkacz H. (PR)Giron M. (Q)2 : 1
    20ByeTabilo A. (25)
    21Khachanov K. (21)Bye
    22Atmane T.Draper J. (WC)2 : 1
    23Fearnley J. (Q)Mannarino A.2 : 0
    24ByeMensik J. (13)
    25Ruud C. (9)Bye
    26Cerundolo J. M.Medjedovic H.2 : 0
    27Damm M. (Q)Tsitsipas S. (Q)0 : 2
    28ByeFonseca J. (22)
    29Bergs Z. (31)Bye
    30Baez S.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Walton A. (Q)Brooksby J.0 : 2
    32ByeShelton B. (5)
    33Lehecka J. (8)Bye
    34Galarneau A. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    35Munar J.Hijikata R.2 : 0
    36ByeBlockx A. (27)
    37Jodar R. (20)Bye
    38Fucsovics M.Moutet C.0 : 2
    39Mejia N. (Q)Landaluce M.2 : 1
    40ByeMusetti L. (11)
    41Vacherot V. (14)Bye
    42Berrettini M.Navone M.1 : 2
    43Svajda Z.Shapovalov D. (RET.)1 : 1
    44ByeFils A. (18)
    45Buse I. (29)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C.Norrie C.0 : 2
    47Duckworth J.O'Connell C. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDe Minaur A. (3)
    49Cobolli F. (6)Bye
    50Bonzi B. (Q)Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    51Kovacevic A.Borges N.1 : 2
    52ByeEtcheverry T. M. (26)
    53Darderi L. (19)Bye
    54Diallo G. (WC)Jacquet K. (Q)2 : 1
    55Vallejo D.Shang J. (PR)0 : 2
    56ByeRublev A. (10)
    57Tiafoe F. (15)Bye
    58Shimabukuro S. (Q)Cilic M.0 : 2
    59Zheng M. (Q)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    60ByeRinderknech A. (23)
    61Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    62Vukic A. (Q)Altmaier D.1 : 2
    63van Assche L.Droguet T. (Q)1 : 2
    64ByeFaria J.

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Griekspoor T.1 : 2
    2Marozsan F.Arnaldi M. (30)1 : 2
    3Humbert U. (24)Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    4Michelsen A.Cerundolo F. (16)2 : 0
    5Tien L. (12)Monfils G.2 : 1
    6Royer V.Paul T. (17)0 : 2
    7Collignon R. (32)Popyrin A.0 : 2
    8Tirante T. A.Fritz T. (7)2 : 0
    9Medvedev D. (4)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    10Hurkacz H.Tabilo A. (25)2 : 0
    11Khachanov K. (21)Atmane T.0 : 2
    12Fearnley J.Mensik J. (13)1 : 2
    13Ruud C. (9)Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0
    14Tsitsipas S.Fonseca J. (22)0 : 2
    15Bergs Z. (31)Baez S.2 : 1
    16Brooksby J.Shelton B. (5)0 : 2
    17Lehecka J. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    18Munar J.Blockx A. (WO.) (27)
    19Jodar R. (20)Moutet C.2 : 1
    20Mejia N.Musetti L. (11)0 : 2
    21Vacherot V. (14)Navone M.1 : 2
    22Svajda Z.Fils A. (18)1 : 2
    23Buse I. (29)Norrie C.0 : 2
    24Duckworth J.De Minaur A. (3)0 : 2
    25Cobolli F. (6)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    26Borges N.Etcheverry T. M. (26)2 : 0
    27Darderi L. (19)Diallo G. (RET.)1 : 0
    28Shang J.Rublev A. (10)2 : 1
    29Tiafoe F. (15)Cilic M.2 : 1
    30Kecmanovic M.Rinderknech A. (23)1 : 2
    31Nakashima B. (28)Altmaier D.2 : 0
    32Droguet T.Faria J.2 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Griekspoor T.Arnaldi M. (30)2 : 1
    2Merida Aguilar D.Michelsen A.2 : 1
    3Tien L. (12)Paul T. (17)2 : 0
    4Popyrin A.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    5Van De Zandschulp B.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    6Atmane T.Mensik J. (13)0 : 2
    7Ruud C. (9)Fonseca J. (22)0 : 2
    8Bergs Z. (31)Shelton B. (5)0 : 2
    9Lehecka J. (8)Blockx A. (27)2 : 0
    10Jodar R. (20)Musetti L. (11)2 : 0
    11Navone M.Fils A. (18)0 : 2
    12Norrie C.De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    13Hanfmann Y.Borges N.0 : 2
    14Darderi L. (19)Shang J.2 : 1
    15Tiafoe F. (RET.) (15)Rinderknech A. (23)0 : 1
    16Nakashima B. (28)Droguet T.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Griekspoor T.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    2Tien L. (12)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    3Van De Zandschulp B.Mensik J. (13)0 : 2
    4Fonseca J. (22)Shelton B. (5)0 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (8)Jodar R. (20)0 : 2
    6Fils A. (18)Norrie C.2 : 0
    7Borges N.Darderi L. (19)1 : 2
    8Rinderknech A. (23)Nakashima B. (28)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Merida Aguilar D.Tien L. (12)0 : 2
    2Mensik J. (13)Shelton B. (5)0 : 2
    3Jodar R. (20)Fils A. (18)2 : 0
    4Darderi L. (19)Nakashima B. (28)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tien L. (12)Shelton B. (5)0 : 2
    2Jodar R. (20)Nakashima B. (28)0 : 2

    Final
    1Shelton B. (5)Nakashima B. (28)2 : 0
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