Exeter City vs Oxford United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

St James Park (Exeter).

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Ball Possession
50%	50%
Goal Attempts
7	8
Shots on Goal
6	4
Shots off Goal
1	1
Blocked Shots
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
0	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
Free Kicks
12	7
Offsides
2	2
Fouls
7	12
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
21	21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Phillips M. ⚽, Scarlett D. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Mitchell D. ⚽, Harper V. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Mitchell D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yfeko J. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
64', El Mizouni I. ↓, Matos A. ↑,
64', McEachran J. ↓, Goodrham T. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Harper V. ⚽, Watts C. (A),
67', Watts C. ↓, Aitchison J. ↑,
67', Magennis J. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
70', Phillips M. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
70', ter Avest H. ↓, Kioso P. ↑,
71', Scarlett D. 🟨,
75', Mitchell D. ↓, Jones P. ↑,
81', Goodrham T. 🟥,
82', Richards J. 🟨,
85', Sibley L. 🟨,
86', Richards J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
89', Dembele S. ↓, Ferdinan M. ↑,
90+5', Ferdinan M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Exeter City
36.5%

Draw
28%

Oxford United
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

25.9%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oxford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oxford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Exeter City - Oxford United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.98)	3.45 ↓ (3.54)	2.66 ↑ (2.26)	4.9% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Exeter City - Oxford United?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
Recent matches Exeter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Oxford is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15:28 (average 1.1:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:14 (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Oxford United?

Exeter City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Exeter City?

Oxford United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Oxford United were as follows:

27.04.2024 Exeter City - Oxford United 1:2

23.09.2023 Oxford United - Exeter City 3:0

01.01.2023 Oxford United - Exeter City 0:1

26.11.2022 Oxford United - Exeter City 4:1

15.10.2022 Exeter City - Oxford United 2:4

Latest results of Exeter City

04.01.2025 Exeter City - Bolton Wanderers 1:2 ✺

01.01.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Exeter City 2:1 ✺

29.12.2024 Exeter City - Crawley Town 4:4 ✺

26.12.2024 Exeter City - Bristol Rovers 3:1 ✺

21.12.2024 Burton Albion - Exeter City 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Oxford United

04.01.2025 Preston North End - Oxford United 1:1 ✺

01.01.2025 Millwall - Oxford United 0:1 ✺

29.12.2024 Oxford United - Plymouth Argyle 2:0 ✺

26.12.2024 Oxford United - Cardiff City 3:2 ✺

21.12.2024 Leeds United - Oxford United 4:0 ✺

Draw

Main

1/128-finals

1	Arsenal	Bye
4	Bye	Manchester Utd
5	Leicester	Bye
8	Bye	QPR
9	Stevenage	Guiseley	2 : 1
10	Curzon Ashton	Mansfield	0 : 4
11	Woking	Cambridge Utd	0 : 1
12	Carlisle	Wigan	0 : 2
13	Fulham	Bye
16	Bye	Watford
17	Hull	Bye
19	Northampton	Kettering	1 : 2
20	Barrow	Doncaster	0 : 1
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
23	Stockport County	Forest Green	2 : 1
24	Brackley Town	Braintree	1 : 0
25	Leeds	Bye
27	Harrogate	Wrexham	1 : 0
28	Hednesford	Gainsborough	4 : 5
29	Millwall	Bye
31	MK Dons	AFC Wimbledon	0 : 2
32	Crewe	Dag & Red	0 : 1
33	Preston	Bye
35	Walsall	Bolton	2 : 1
36	Southend	Charlton	3 : 4
37	Grimsby	Wealdstone	0 : 1
38	Wycombe	York City	3 : 2
40	Bye	Portsmouth
41	Southampton	Bye
44	Bye	Swansea
45	Reading	Fleetwood	2 : 0
46	Tonbridge	Harborough	1 : 4
48	Bye	Burnley
49	Aston Villa	Bye
52	Bye	West Ham
53	Burton	Scarborough	1 : 0
54	Tamworth	Huddersfield	1 : 0
56	Bye	Tottenham
57	Sunderland	Bye
60	Bye	Stoke
61	Sheffield Utd	Bye
64	Bye	Cardiff
65	Gillingham	Blackpool	0 : 2
66	Sutton	Birmingham	0 : 1
67	Maidenhead	Crawley	1 : 2
68	Chesham	Lincoln	0 : 4
69	Newcastle	Bye
71	Solihull Moors	Maidstone	3 : 0
72	Rochdale	Bromley	3 : 4
73	Norwich	Bye
76	Bye	Brighton
77	Chelsea	Bye
79	Worthing	Morecambe	0 : 2
80	Bradford City	Aldershot	3 : 1
81	Exeter	Barnet	5 : 3
82	Chesterfield	Horsham FC	3 : 1
84	Bye	Oxford Utd
85	Nottingham	Bye
88	Bye	Luton
89	Coventry	Bye
92	Bye	Sheffield Wed
93	Ipswich	Bye
95	Port Vale	Barnsley	1 : 3
96	Bristol Rovers	Weston-super-Mare	3 : 1
97	Everton	Bye
99	Newport	Peterborough	2 : 4
100	Notts Co	Alfreton	5 : 1
101	Bournemouth	Bye
104	Bye	West Brom
105	Middlesbrough	Bye
108	Bye	Blackburn
109	Bristol City	Bye
112	Bye	Wolves
113	Boreham Wood	Leyton Orient	2 : 3
114	Tranmere	Oldham	1 : 2
116	Bye	Derby
117	Manchester City	Bye
119	Salford	Shrewsbury	2 : 1
120	Rotherham	Cheltenham	1 : 3
121	Brentford	Bye
124	Bye	Plymouth
125	Liverpool	Bye
127	Rushall	Accrington	0 : 2
128	Swindon	Colchester	2 : 1

1/64-finals

1	Arsenal	Bye
2	Bye	Manchester Utd
3	Leicester	Bye
4	Bye	QPR
5	Stevenage	Mansfield	0 : 1
6	Cambridge Utd	Wigan	1 : 2
7	Fulham	Bye
8	Bye	Watford
9	Hull	Bye
10	Kettering	Doncaster	1 : 2
11	Crystal Palace	Bye
12	Stockport County	Brackley Town	3 : 1
13	Leeds	Bye
14	Harrogate	Gainsborough	1 : 0
15	Millwall	Bye
16	AFC Wimbledon	Dag & Red	1 : 2
17	Preston	Bye
18	Walsall	Charlton	0 : 4
19	Wealdstone	Wycombe	0 : 2
20	Bye	Portsmouth
21	Southampton	Bye
22	Bye	Swansea
23	Reading	Harborough	5 : 3
24	Bye	Burnley
25	Aston Villa	Bye
26	Bye	West Ham
27	Burton	Tamworth	1 : 2
28	Bye	Tottenham
29	Sunderland	Bye
30	Bye	Stoke
31	Sheffield Utd	Bye
32	Bye	Cardiff
33	Blackpool	Birmingham	1 : 2
34	Crawley	Lincoln	3 : 4
35	Newcastle	Bye
36	Solihull Moors	Bromley	1 : 2
37	Norwich	Bye
38	Bye	Brighton
39	Chelsea	Bye
40	Morecambe	Bradford City	1 : 0
41	Exeter	Chesterfield	2 : 0
42	Bye	Oxford Utd
43	Nottingham	Bye
44	Bye	Luton
45	Coventry	Bye
46	Bye	Sheffield Wed
47	Ipswich	Bye
48	Barnsley	Bristol Rovers	0 : 1
49	Everton	Bye
50	Peterborough	Notts Co	4 : 3
51	Bournemouth	Bye
52	Bye	West Brom
53	Middlesbrough	Bye
54	Bye	Blackburn
55	Bristol City	Bye
56	Bye	Wolves
57	Leyton Orient	Oldham	2 : 1
58	Bye	Derby
59	Manchester City	Bye
60	Salford	Cheltenham	2 : 0
61	Brentford	Bye
62	Bye	Plymouth
63	Liverpool	Bye
64	Accrington	Swindon	3 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Arsenal	Manchester Utd	1 : 2
2	Leicester	QPR	6 : 2
3	Mansfield	Wigan	0 : 2
4	Fulham	Watford	4 : 1
5	Hull	Doncaster	1 : 2
6	Crystal Palace	Stockport County	1 : 0
7	Leeds	Harrogate	1 : 0
8	Millwall	Dag & Red	3 : 0
9	Preston	Charlton	2 : 1
10	Wycombe	Portsmouth	2 : 0
11	Southampton	Swansea	3 : 0
12	Reading	Burnley	1 : 3
13	Aston Villa	West Ham	2 : 1
14	Tamworth	Tottenham	0 : 3
15	Sunderland	Stoke	1 : 2
16	Sheffield Utd	Cardiff	0 : 1
17	Birmingham	Lincoln	2 : 1
18	Newcastle	Bromley	3 : 1
19	Norwich	Brighton	0 : 4
20	Chelsea	Morecambe	5 : 0
21	Exeter	Oxford Utd	3 : 1
22	Nottingham	Luton	2 : 0
23	Coventry	Sheffield Wed	2 : 1
24	Ipswich	Bristol Rovers	3 : 0
25	Everton	Peterborough	2 : 0
26	Bournemouth	West Brom	5 : 1
27	Middlesbrough	Blackburn	0 : 1
28	Bristol City	Wolves	1 : 2
29	Leyton Orient	Derby	2 : 1
30	Manchester City	Salford	8 : 0
31	Brentford	Plymouth	0 : 1
32	Liverpool	Accrington	4 : 0

1/16-finals

1	Manchester Utd	Leicester	2 : 1
2	Wigan	Fulham	1 : 2
3	Doncaster	Crystal Palace	0 : 2
4	Leeds	Millwall	0 : 2
5	Preston	Wycombe	1 : 0
6	Southampton	Burnley	0 : 1
7	Aston Villa	Tottenham	2 : 1
8	Stoke	Cardiff	3 : 4
9	Birmingham	Newcastle	2 : 3
10	Brighton	Chelsea	2 : 1
11	Exeter	Nottingham	2 : 3
12	Coventry	Ipswich	1 : 4
13	Everton	Bournemouth	0 : 2
14	Blackburn	Wolves	0 : 2
15	Leyton Orient	Manchester City	1 : 2
16	Plymouth	Liverpool	1 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Manchester Utd	Fulham	1 : 2
2	Crystal Palace	Millwall	3 : 1
3	Preston	Burnley	3 : 0
4	Aston Villa	Cardiff	2 : 0
5	Newcastle	Brighton	1 : 2
6	Nottingham	Ipswich	2 : 1
7	Bournemouth	Wolves	2 : 1
8	Manchester City	Plymouth	3 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Fulham	Crystal Palace	0 : 3
2	Preston	Aston Villa	0 : 3
3	Brighton	Nottingham	0 : 1
4	Bournemouth	Manchester City	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Crystal Palace	Aston Villa	3 : 0
2	Nottingham	Manchester City	0 : 2

Final

1

Crystal Palace

Manchester City

1 : 0

Which TV channels are streaming of Exeter City - Oxford United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Sportsnet Now Plus
China	Migu
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+