Exeter City vs Northampton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Exeter City - Northampton Town
Result
1:1
01/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 34
  • Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Exeter City - Northampton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.78
Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
811
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Free Kicks
1616
Offsides
20
Fouls
1616
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
3530
Touches in the Opposition Box
1726
Passes
62% (205/329)50% (119/240)
Passes in the final third
51% (53/104)50% (63/125)
Crosses
21% (3/14)24% (4/17)
Tackles
60% (12/20)69% (9/13)
Clearances Total
4533
Interceptions
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', McMillan J. , Niskanen I. ,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Costelloe D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Taylor T. 🟨,
  • 65', Yogane T. , Cox S. ,
  • 65', Mitchell D. , Jones P. ,
  • 65', Aitchison J. , Cole R. ,
  • 68', McGowan A. , Koiki A. ,
  • 68', Fosu T. , Roberts T. ,
  • 69', Niskanen I. 🟨,
  • 74', Woods R. , Watts C. ,
  • 74', Trevitt R. , Colwill J. ,
  • 83', Magloire T. , Willis J. ,
  • 84', Perry B. , Hondermarck W. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Cox S. ,
  • 89', Cole R. 🟨,
  • 89', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Costelloe D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Costelloe D. , Wilson J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
38.4%
Draw
29.6%
Northampton Town
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 27.7% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 28.5% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Exeter City - Northampton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.22)
    3.2
    (3.39)
    2.96
    (3.13)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Exeter City - Northampton Town?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 18 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 1.
    • Exeter is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Northampton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Northampton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Northampton have a series of home games.
    • Exeter will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Northampton: Brough P. (Broken Leg) Eyoma T. (Hamstring Injury) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Mbete L. (Hamstring Injury) McGeehan C. (Yellow Cards) Morton C. (Knee Injury) Sowerby J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Cox S. (Inactive) Fitzwater J. (Injury) Sweeney P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Koiki A. (Muscle Injury) Odimayo A. (Injury) Roberts T. (Injury) Shaw L. (Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Exeter won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 17:33 (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Northampton Town were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Northampton Town - Exeter City 2:1
    20.04.2024 Northampton Town - Exeter City 1:2
    30.09.2023 Exeter City - Northampton Town 0:2
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Birmingham ✔ 46349384:3153111
    2Wrexham ✔ 462711867:343392
    3Stockport County ✔ 462512972:423087
    4Charlton ✔ 4625101167:432485
    5Wycombe ✔ 4624121070:452584
    6Leyton Orient462461672:482478
    7Reading4621121368:571175
    8Bolton462081867:70-368
    9Blackpool4617161372:601267
    10Huddersfield461972058:55364
    11Lincoln4616131764:56861
    12Barnsley4617101969:73-461
    13Rotherham4616111954:59-559
    14Stevenage4615121942:50-857
    15Wigan4613171640:42-256
    16Exeter4615112049:65-1656
    17Mansfield461592260:73-1354
    18Peterborough4613122168:81-1351
    19Northampton4612151948:66-1851
    20Burton4611142149:66-1747
    21Crawley ✔ 4612102457:83-2646
    22Bristol Rovers ✔ 461272744:76-3243
    23Cambridge Utd ✔ 469112645:73-2838
    24Shrewsbury ✔ 46892941:79-3833

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Wrexham is Qualified for Championship
    Stockport County is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Charlton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Wycombe is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Crawley is Relegated to League Two
    Bristol Rovers is Relegated to League Two
    Cambridge Utd is Relegated to League Two
    Shrewsbury is Relegated to League Two
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