Exeter City vs Mansfield Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Exeter City - Mansfield Town
Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 3
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
Exeter City - Mansfield Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.02
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
57
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
81% (474/586)77% (296/384)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.591.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.992.04
Total shots
57
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
03
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
00
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
810
Passes
81% (474/586)77% (296/384)
Long passes
31% (26/85)33% (21/63)
Passes in final third
50% (66/133)51% (46/91)
Crosses
9% (2/23)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.400.81
Throw-ins
2930
Fouls
119
Tackles
75% (9/12)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4251
Clearances
2248
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.041.99
Goals prevented
0.040.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Blake-Tracy F. , Maris G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Cole R. , Rydel R. ,
  • 46', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
  • 60', Doyle-Hayes J. , Magennis J. ,
  • 66', Hendry R. , Lewis A. ,
  • 67', Bolton L. , Dickov M. ,
  • 67', Wareham J. , Cox S. ,
  • 71', Swinkels S. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Magennis J. (Pen),
  • 78', Blake-Tracy F. 🟨,
  • 80', Blake-Tracy F. , Hewitt E. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Evans W. , Lewis A. (A),
  • 89', Maris G. , McAdam K. ,
  • 89', Evans W. , Moriah-Welsh N. ,
  • 90', Swinkels S. , Dean T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
34.5%
Draw
28.3%
Mansfield Town
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 27.4% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27.8% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Exeter City - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.6)
    3.33
    (3.45)
    2.51
    (2.61)
    6.6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Exeter City - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Mansfield will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.
    • Exeter has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mansfield is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Gardner J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Oates R. (Injury) Oshilaja A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Mansfield Town - Exeter City 3:0
    11.03.2025 Exeter City - Mansfield Town 2:0
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff54107:1613
    2Huddersfield540110:3712
    3Stevenage54018:4412
    4Bradford City53207:4311
    5Stockport County53119:6310
    6Barnsley53118:6210
    7Lincoln53117:5210
    8Doncaster53115:4110
    9Mansfield530210:649
    10AFC Wimbledon53026:339
    11Luton53025:329
    12Wigan52127:617
    13Leyton Orient52126:9-37
    14Exeter52036:606
    15Bolton51315:506
    16Burton41125:6-14
    17Rotherham41124:7-34
    18Northampton51133:6-34
    19Plymouth51044:9-53
    20Blackpool51046:12-63
    21Wycombe50235:8-32
    22Port Vale50232:5-32
    23Reading50234:9-52
    24Peterborough50142:8-61

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Which TV channels are streaming of Exeter City - Mansfield Town?
    It is being streamed on channel
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