Crawley Town vs Exeter City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Crawley Town - Exeter City
Result
3:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 44
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Crawley Town - Exeter City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.51
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
79% (352/444)78% (284/366)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.51
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.65
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2811
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
79% (352/444)78% (284/366)
Long passes
40% (27/68)29% (18/63)
Passes in final third
68% (68/100)56% (61/108)
Crosses
50% (4/8)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.45
Fouls
1215
Tackles
69% (11/16)59% (10/17)
Duels won
6445
Clearances Total
2423
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.652.26
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ,
  • 9', 2 - 0, Camara P. , Hepburn-Murphy R. (A),
  • 23', 3 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ,
  • 25', 3 - 1, Watts C. , Francis E. (A),
  • 26', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 34', Colwill J. 🟨,
  • 41', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Oluwabori A. , Yogane T. ,
  • 46', Turns E. , Harper V. ,
  • 46', Watts C. , Woods R. ,
  • 54', Kelly J. 🟨,
  • 54', Francis E. 🟨,
  • 62', Hartridge A. 🟨,
  • 70', Fitzwater J. , Cole R. ,
  • 70', Niskanen I. , Dean T. ,
  • 71', Camara P. , Doyle K. ,
  • 75', Roles J. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 78', Fraser L. 🟨,
  • 89', Francis E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
44.1%
Draw
26%
Exeter City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 26.6% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 26.4% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crawley Town's performance.
  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crawley Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Crawley Town - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.44)
    3.61
    (3.54)
    3.16
    (2.73)
    6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Exeter City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1.
    • Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Crawley will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Inactive) Cox M. (Injury) Flint J. (Inactive) Ibrahim B. (Yellow Cards) Mukena J. (Inactive) Sandford R. (Inactive) Watson L. (Injury) Wollacott J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D. (Knee Injury) Purrington B. (Injury) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Trevitt R. (Hamstring Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Crawley won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:26 (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Exeter City were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Exeter City - Crawley Town 4:4
    08.08.2023 Exeter City - Crawley Town 2:1
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Stevenage65019:4515
    3Bradford City642010:6414
    4Barnsley641111:7413
    5Doncaster64116:4213
    6Huddersfield640211:6512
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Stockport County632110:7311
    9Lincoln63218:6211
    10Mansfield631211:7410
    11Exeter63039:639
    12AFC Wimbledon63038:629
    13Wigan62228:718
    14Bolton61416:607
    15Northampton62134:6-27
    16Leyton Orient62136:10-47
    17Reading61235:9-45
    18Burton51135:9-44
    19Rotherham51134:8-44
    20Blackpool61147:13-64
    21Plymouth61054:13-93
    22Wycombe60245:9-42
    23Port Vale60242:6-42
    24Peterborough60152:11-91

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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