Crawley Town vs Exeter City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Crawley Town - Exeter City
Result
3:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 44
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Crawley Town - Exeter City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.51
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
79% (352/444)78% (284/366)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.51
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.65
Total shots
155
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2811
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
79% (352/444)78% (284/366)
Long passes
40% (27/68)29% (18/63)
Passes in final third
68% (68/100)56% (61/108)
Crosses
50% (4/8)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.45
Fouls
1215
Tackles
69% (11/16)59% (10/17)
Duels won
6445
Clearances Total
2423
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.652.26
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ,
  • 9', 2 - 0, Camara P. , Hepburn-Murphy R. (A),
  • 23', 3 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. ,
  • 25', 3 - 1, Watts C. , Francis E. (A),
  • 26', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 34', Colwill J. 🟨,
  • 41', Radcliffe B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Oluwabori A. , Yogane T. ,
  • 46', Turns E. , Harper V. ,
  • 46', Watts C. , Woods R. ,
  • 54', Kelly J. 🟨,
  • 54', Francis E. 🟨,
  • 62', Hartridge A. 🟨,
  • 70', Fitzwater J. , Cole R. ,
  • 70', Niskanen I. , Dean T. ,
  • 71', Camara P. , Doyle K. ,
  • 75', Roles J. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 78', Fraser L. 🟨,
  • 89', Francis E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
44.1%
Draw
26%
Exeter City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 26.6% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 26.4% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crawley Town's performance.
  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crawley Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Crawley Town - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.44)
    3.61
    (3.54)
    3.16
    (2.73)
    6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Exeter City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crawley won 1.
    • Crawley is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Crawley will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Inactive) Cox M. (Injury) Flint J. (Inactive) Ibrahim B. (Yellow Cards) Mukena J. (Inactive) Sandford R. (Inactive) Watson L. (Injury) Wollacott J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D. (Knee Injury) Purrington B. (Injury) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Trevitt R. (Hamstring Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Forster H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Crawley won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:26 (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Exeter City were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Exeter City - Crawley Town 4:4
    08.08.2023 Exeter City - Crawley Town 2:1
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County00000:000
    2Bolton00000:000
    3Reading00000:000
    4Wigan00000:000
    5Barnsley00000:000
    6Blackpool00000:000
    7Cardiff00000:000
    8Plymouth00000:000
    9Doncaster00000:000
    10Huddersfield00000:000
    11Leyton Orient00000:000
    12Luton00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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