Exeter City vs Burton Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Exeter City - Burton Albion
Result
0:0
18/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 43
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Exeter City - Burton Albion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.42
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
45
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
83% (441/533)54% (101/188)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.04
Total shots
45
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
01
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
32
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
910
Through passes
100% (1/1)0% (0/1)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
83% (441/533)54% (101/188)
Long passes
28% (18/64)25% (16/65)
Passes in final third
63% (71/112)35% (28/79)
Crosses
15% (2/13)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.42
Fouls
1516
Tackles
36% (5/14)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4946
Clearances Total
2517
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.040.34
Goals prevented
0.040.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', McDonald K. 🟨,
  • 33', Sweeney R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sraha J. , Armer J. ,
  • 55', Turns E. 🟨,
  • 62', McDonald K. , Woods R. ,
  • 63', Cole R. , Yogane T. ,
  • 64', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
  • 72', Larsson J. , Tavares F. ,
  • 72', Francis E. , Colwill J. ,
  • 72', Burrell R. , Bennett M. ,
  • 73', Cox S. , Oluwabori A. ,
  • 83', McKiernan J. J. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 83', Watts C. , Harper V. ,
  • 86', Chauke K. 🟨,
  • 88', MacDonald A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Exeter City
32%
Draw
29.6%
Burton Albion
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 28.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 28.1% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.
  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burton Albion's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burton Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Exeter City - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.29)
    3.2
    (3.31)
    2.46
    (3.04)
    6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Exeter City - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Burton will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 45.7%79.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burton Albion will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Burton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D. (Knee Injury) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Trevitt R. (Hamstring Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J. (Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sweeney R. (Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Exeter won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Burton Albion were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Burton Albion - Exeter City 1:2
    16.03.2024 Exeter City - Burton Albion 1:0
    02.09.2023 Burton Albion - Exeter City 0:1
    11.02.2023 Burton Albion - Exeter City 1:0
    17.09.2022 Exeter City - Burton Albion 0:2
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Charlton (4)Wycombe (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Stockport County (3)Leyton Orient (6)1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Charlton (4)Leyton Orient (6)1 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Exeter City - Burton Albion?
    It is being streamed on channel
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