Utrecht vs Excelsior: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Utrecht - Excelsior
Result
4:1
24/08/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 3
Utrecht - Excelsior - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.26
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
82% (334/409)83% (343/415)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.651.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.491.05
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
126
Passes
82% (334/409)83% (343/415)
Long passes
47% (28/59)40% (17/43)
Passes in final third
65% (42/65)68% (65/96)
Crosses
38% (6/16)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.41
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
615
Tackles
47% (7/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4642
Clearances
2212
Interceptions
312
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.052.49
Goals prevented
0.05-1.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Rodriguez M. , El Karouani S. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Min D. , El Karouani S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', van der Hoorn M. , Viergever N. ,
  • 58', 3 - 0, Jensen V. , El Karouani S. (A),
  • 60', van Duinen M. , Wlodarczyk S. ,
  • 61', Martens N. , Bronkhorst I. ,
  • 61', Engwanda A. , van Ommeren J. ,
  • 67', 4 - 0, Jensen V. , Blake A. (A),
  • 68', Min D. , Haller S. ,
  • 68', Zechiel G. , van den Berg D. ,
  • 71', Yegoian I. , Booth Z. ,
  • 71', Naujoks N. , Meissen R. ,
  • 76', Sanches Fernandes D. , Yoon D. ,
  • 79', Rodriguez M. , Jonathans M. ,
  • 83', 4 - 1, Yoon D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Utrecht
65.7%
Draw
19.7%
Excelsior
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 21.2% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Utrecht - Excelsior Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.53)
    4.78
    (4.39)
    6.45
    (5.2)
    5.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Utrecht - Excelsior?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Excelsior will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 40.8%79.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 2.
    • Utrecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Excelsior's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Excelsior has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Utrecht is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Utrecht: El Arguioui R. (Knee Injury) Iqbal Z. (Knee Injury) Jenner I. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Bergraaf J. (Inactive) Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Schouten L. (Inactive) Tielemans M. (Inactive) van Gassel S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Utrecht: Mukeh J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Utrecht will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:19. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Excelsior were as follows:
    27.01.2024 Excelsior - Utrecht 1:1
    12.11.2023 Utrecht - Excelsior 2:2
    25.01.2023 Utrecht - Excelsior 1:0
    02.10.2022 Excelsior - Utrecht 0:1
    Latest results of Utrecht
    21.08.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Utrecht 0:2
    17.08.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht 2:1
    14.08.2025 Utrecht - Servette 2:1
    10.08.2025 Utrecht - Heracles Almelo 4:0
    07.08.2025 Servette - Utrecht 1:3
    Latest results of Excelsior
    16.08.2025 Excelsior - Feyenoord 1:2
    09.08.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Excelsior 5:0
    19.07.2025 Dordrecht - Excelsior 2:2
    12.07.2025 NAC Breda - Excelsior 0:1
    05.07.2025 ASWH - Excelsior 2:3
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nijmegen330012:1119
    2PSV330012:399
    3Ajax32106:247
    4Feyenoord22004:136
    5Zwolle22003:036
    6Utrecht32019:366
    7Sparta Rotterdam32016:7-16
    8AZ Alkmaar21106:334
    9FC Volendam30305:503
    10Twente31022:4-23
    11Groningen31025:9-43
    12NAC Breda31022:6-43
    13G.A. Eagles30214:7-32
    14Sittard20113:4-11
    15Heerenveen30123:5-21
    16Telstar30122:6-41
    17Excelsior30032:11-90
    18Heracles30031:10-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Which TV channels are streaming of Utrecht - Excelsior?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra
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