Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven
Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.102.51
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
76% (253/331)87% (533/615)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.102.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.602.72
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
96
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2331
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
58
Passes
76% (253/331)87% (533/615)
Long passes
48% (30/62)63% (47/75)
Passes in final third
69% (87/127)78% (122/156)
Crosses
25% (5/20)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.021.67
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
85
Tackles
44% (7/16)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4052
Clearances
2436
Interceptions
169
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
2.720.60
Goals prevented
0.72-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Wlodarczyk S. ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Veerman J. ,
  • 32', Pepi R. , Til G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Wlodarczyk S. , Bergraaf J. ,
  • 70', Wanner P. , Man D. ,
  • 71', Sanches Fernandes D. , Mitrovic S. ,
  • 71', Naujoks N. , Nadje C. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Saibari I. , Man D. (A),
  • 81', de Regt G. , van Duinen M. ,
  • 81', Carlen A. , Schouten L. ,
  • 85', Perisic I. , Driouech C. ,
  • 85', Salah-Eddine A. , Obispo A. ,

Chances of winning


Excelsior
11.9%
Draw
16.3%
PSV Eindhoven
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
5.5% 11% 83.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.
  • PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.49
    (17.25)
    6.05
    (8.6)
    1.37
    (1.13)
    1.5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 17 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PSV Eindhoven will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, PSV has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, PSV is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Excelsior: Hartjes L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PSV: Boadu M. (Injury) Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: van Bommel R. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:49. (average 0.8:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.9:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
    14.01.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 5:4
    02.04.2024 Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven 0:2
    13.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 3:1
    08.04.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior 4:0
    28.08.2022 Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven 1:6
    Latest results of Excelsior
    20.09.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:2
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    24.08.2025 Utrecht - Excelsior 4:1
    16.08.2025 Excelsior - Feyenoord 1:2
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    21.09.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 2:2
    30.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Telstar 0:2
    23.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Groningen 4:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord871018:61222
    2PSV861125:111419
    3Ajax844017:10716
    4AZ Alkmaar843117:12515
    5Groningen850314:11315
    6Nijmegen841322:14813
    7Twente841314:11313
    8Sittard841313:12113
    9Utrecht831415:10510
    10G.A. Eagles824214:14010
    11Sparta Rotterdam831411:22-1110
    12Heerenveen823312:13-19
    13FC Volendam81439:13-47
    14Telstar821510:15-57
    15NAC Breda82158:14-67
    16Zwolle82157:15-87
    17Excelsior82067:17-106
    18Heracles81077:20-133

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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