Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Jong AZ Alkmaar 22.9%

Draw 20.9%

Excelsior 56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Jong AZ Alkmaar 19.6%

Draw 21%

Excelsior 59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Jong AZ Alkmaar 19.6%

Draw 21%

Excelsior 59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↓ (4.79)	4.44 ↓ (4.47)	1.66 ↑ (1.58)	7.4% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior?

The most likely score is 1:2.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
Excelsior is Qualified for Eredivisie
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
Jong AZ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Excelsior is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Excelsior is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.7:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Excelsior?

Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?

Excelsior has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior were as follows:

27.09.2024 Excelsior - Jong AZ Alkmaar 4:2

Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar

02.05.2025 FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:4 ✺

28.04.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch 0:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Emmen - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:4 ✺

14.04.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Volendam 0:1 ✺

07.04.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Excelsior

02.05.2025 Excelsior - Jong PSV 5:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Excelsior - Emmen 2:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Volendam - Excelsior 1:4 ✺

11.04.2025 Excelsior - FC Oss 2:0 ✺

04.04.2025 MVV Maastricht - Excelsior 1:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Volendam ✔	37	26	4	7	86:44	42	82
2	Excelsior ✔	37	22	8	7	73:36	37	74
3	Cambuur ✔	37	21	5	11	62:42	20	68
4	Den Haag ✔	37	19	10	8	62:45	17	67
5	Dordrecht ✔	37	19	8	10	65:45	20	65
6	De Graafschap ✔	37	18	8	11	69:49	20	62
7	Telstar	37	16	10	11	66:47	19	58
8	FC Emmen	37	17	5	15	56:50	6	56
9	Den Bosch	37	15	10	12	52:45	7	55
10	Jong AZ	37	13	10	14	67:62	5	49
11	Roda	37	13	10	14	49:56	-7	49
12	Eindhoven FC	37	13	9	15	57:64	-7	48
13	Helmond	37	12	10	15	52:57	-5	46
14	Venlo	37	11	8	18	42:62	-20	41
15	Maastricht	37	10	10	17	52:58	-6	40
16	Oss	37	8	13	16	31:61	-30	37
17	Jong Ajax	37	9	8	20	37:52	-15	35
18	Jong PSV	37	7	6	24	52:85	-33	27
19	Jong Utrecht	37	4	11	22	30:79	-49	23
20	Vitesse	37	10	11	16	51:72	-21	2

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

FC Volendam is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Eredivisie
Excelsior is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
Dordrecht is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
De Graafschap is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )

Which TV channels are streaming of Jong AZ Alkmaar - Excelsior?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: