EV Zug vs ERC Ingolstadt: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Hockey Champions League Ice Hockey EV Zug - ERC Ingolstadt
Result
3:7
05/09/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Round 3
  • Referee: Ruprecht L. (Sui)
EV Zug - ERC Ingolstadt - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.243.38
Shots on Goal
2826
Shooting PCT
10.71% (3/28)26.92% (7/26)
Blocked Shots
510
Goalkeeper Saves
1925
Saves PCT
73.08% (19/26)89.29% (25/28)
Penalties
45
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)80% (4/5)
Hits
102
Faceoffs Won
2824
Faceoffs %
53.8546.15
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 2)
  • 03:25, 1 - 0, Martschini L. (G), Herzog F. (A), Tatar T. (A2)
  • 05:04, 2 - 0, Wingerli A. (G), Kunzle M. (A), Diaz R. (A2)
  • 08:36, 2 - 1, Keating A. (G), Powell M. (A), Agostino K. (A2)
  • 13:49, 2 - 2, Ruopp S. (G), Barber R. (A),
  • 15:04, Preto P. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 4)
  • 01:58, Krauss P. (2 min),
  • 03:16, 2 - 3, Pietta D. (G),
  • 04:36, 2 - 4, Barber R. (G), Krauss P. (A), Jandric C. (A2)
  • 06:08, 2 - 5, Jandric C. (G), Barber R. (A), Spornberger P. (A2)
  • 06:08, Genoni L. , Wolf T. ,
  • 07:50, Keating A. (2 min),
  • 10:59, 2 - 6, Breton A. (G), Sheen R. (A),
  • 13:23, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:10, Girduckis A. (2 min),
  • 00:29, 3 - 6, Tatar T. (G), Diaz R. (A),
  • 01:08, Tatar T. (2 min),
  • 02:31, 3 - 7, Keating A. (G), Sheen R. (A), Agostino K. (A2)
  • 18:17, Tatar T. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


EV Zug
66.5%
Draw
16.8%
ERC Ingolstadt
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 17.7% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 17.3% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ERC Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • EV Zug - ERC Ingolstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.44)
    5.59
    (5.36)
    5.65
    (5.79)
    6.9%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
  • Preview Facts
    • EV Zug is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ingolstadt is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Ingolstadt has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, EV Zug is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that EV Zug will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, EV Zug won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    Latest results of EV Zug
    28.08.2025 Luleå - EV Zug 2:3
    23.08.2025 EV Zug - Rögle 1:4
    22.08.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - EV Zug 3:4
    16.08.2025 EV Zug - EHC München 5:2
    Latest results of ERC Ingolstadt
    Champions League Ice Hockey Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPtsPts
    1Ilves ✔ 4400015:6123.00
    2KalPa ✔ 4310016:6112.75
    3Frolunda4300113:792.25
    4Brynas4300112:692.25
    5Zug4210117:1382.00
    6Sparta Prague4210112:882.00
    7Lulea4202010:982.00
    8Lukko4201115:1071.75
    9Kometa Brno4201117:1471.75
    10Zurich4201110:771.75
    11Bern4201111:1071.75
    12ERC Ingolstadt4200212:1161.50
    13Salzburg420029:861.50
    14Klagenfurt4200212:1361.50
    15Mountfield HK4111110:1161.50
    16Bolzano4110210:1551.25
    17Eisbaren Berlin310027:931.00
    18Grenoble310029:1231.00
    19Bremerhaven4020213:1541.00
    20Lausanne4100311:1530.75
    21Storhamar410035:1430.75
    22Odense Bulldogs4010311:1820.50
    23Belfast4001312:2310.25
    24Tychy400044:1300.00

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ilves is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    KalPa is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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