Universidad de Chile vs Estudiantes La Plata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores
Soccer Copa Libertadores Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata
Result
0:3
07/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.46
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
59
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
78% (340/436)73% (212/290)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.392.55
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
78% (340/436)73% (212/290)
Long passes
52% (25/48)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
60% (67/112)64% (65/102)
Crosses
17% (5/30)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.71
Throw-ins
2224
Fouls
1615
Tackles
85% (11/13)53% (10/19)
Duels won
6055
Clearances
1841
Interceptions
1316
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
2.550.39
Goals prevented
-0.450.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽, Carrillo G. (A),
  • 31', 0 - 2, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Gabriel Neves (A),
  • 37', Palacios T. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 3, Carrillo G. ⚽, Meza E. (A),
  • 40', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
  • 43', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ramirez N. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
  • 46', Guerra N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
  • 46', Montes G. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
  • 46', Di Yorio L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
  • 53', Medina C. 🟨,
  • 60', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
  • 66', Palacios T. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
  • 74', Carrillo G. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
  • 76', Calderon F. 🟨,
  • 82', Medina C. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
  • 83', Arzamendia S. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
  • 83', Meza E. ↓, Piovi L. ↑,
  • 85', Burgos J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universidad de Chile
35.2%		Draw
33%		Estudiantes La Plata
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 30.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 30.4% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
    •

    Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.66 ↑
    (2.36)    		 2.86 ↓
    (3.08)    		 3 ↓
    (3.23)    		 5.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 23.8% – 76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Universidad de Chile is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Ascacibar S. (Muscle Injury) Castro A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Universidad de Chile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Universidad de Chile 1:2
    Latest results of Universidad de Chile
    03.05.2025 Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica 1:0 ✺
    27.04.2025 Palestino - Universidad de Chile 2:3 ✺
    22.04.2025 Carabobo - Universidad de Chile 1:1 ✺
    17.04.2025 Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena 3:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Universidad de Chile - Colo-Colo Postponed
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    02.05.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 4:0 ✺
    28.04.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Tigre 0:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ 1:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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