Grêmio vs Estudiantes La Plata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Grêmio - Estudiantes La Plata
Result
1:1
08/06/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
Grêmio - Estudiantes La Plata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.910.62
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1015
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
610
Free Kicks
1915
Corner Kicks
59
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
2620
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Fouls
1619
Yellow Cards
34
Attacks
8588
Dangerous Attacks
3447

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Correa J. 🟨,
  • 15', Rodrigo Ely 🟨,
  • 23', Benedetti G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Cristaldo F. , Costa D. (A),
  • 55', Costa D. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 55', Pavon C. , Gustavo Nunes ,
  • 66', Benedetti G. , Fernandez N. ,
  • 66', Manyoma A. , Sosa J. ,
  • 70', Cetre E. 🟨,
  • 77', Correa J. , Mendez M. ,
  • 77', Piatti P. , Zapiola F. ,
  • 78', Cristaldo F. , Nathan Fernandes ,
  • 78', Soteldo Y. , Carballo F. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Mendez M. , Sosa J. (A),
  • 84', Joao Pedro 🟨,
  • 84', Zuqui F. 🟨,
  • 85', Pepe , Everton Galdino ,
  • 86', Walter Kannemann 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grêmio
59.3%
Draw
24.4%
Estudiantes La Plata
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 19.8% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 18.6% 37.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.
  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes La Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+21.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes La Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Grêmio - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (2.17)
    3.82
    (4.4)
    5.82
    (2.17)
    6.6%
    (14.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: Grêmio will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Grêmio is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Grêmio is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    23.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Grêmio 0:1
    Latest results of Grêmio
    04.06.2024 Huachipato - Grêmio 0:1
    29.05.2024 Grêmio - The Strongest 4:0
    27.04.2024 Bahia - Grêmio 1:0
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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