Cusco vs Estudiantes La Plata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:1
06/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
Cusco - Estudiantes La Plata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.020.86
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
82
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
33
Passes
84% (381/455)74% (215/291)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
2.020.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.810.47
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
104
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
60
Free kicks
58
Passes
84% (381/455)74% (215/291)
Long passes
49% (27/55)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
69% (65/94)56% (43/77)
Crosses
29% (7/24)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.51
Throw ins
2126
Fouls
85
Tackles
67% (6/9)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4137
Clearances
1817
Interceptions
19
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
17
xGOT faced
0.471.81
Goals prevented
-0.530.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Colitto L. ,
  • 41', Castro A. 🟨,
  • 45', Fuentes A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 1, Palacios T. , Amondarain M. (A),
  • 61', Colitto L. , Silva N. ,
  • 61', Colman I. , Tevez J. ,
  • 65', Carrillo G. , Farias F. ,
  • 65', Perez Fabricio , Cetre E. ,
  • 75', Soto D. , Carabajal G. ,
  • 76', Castro A. , Mancuso E. ,
  • 85', Meza E. , Alario L. ,
  • 85', Palacios T. , Nunez S. ,
  • 85', Farias F. 🟨,
  • 86', Ruidias M. , Bolivar J. ,
  • 89', Gabriel Neves 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cusco
29.7%
Draw
29.3%
Estudiantes La Plata
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 30.3% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 30.7% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cusco's form might have worsened.
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes La Plata's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cusco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cusco - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.28)
    3.19
    (3.05)
    2.3
    (3.18)
    6.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cusco - Estudiantes La Plata?
    • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • Cusco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Estudiantes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Estudiantes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Estudiantes might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury) Piovi L. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cusco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    14.04.2026 Estudiantes La Plata - Cusco 2:1
    Latest results of Cusco
    03.05.2026 Sporting Cristal - Cusco 2:2
    26.04.2026 Cusco - Sport Huancayo 2:1
    22.04.2026 Cusco - Cajamarca 1:0
    18.04.2026 Alianza Lima - Cusco 8:0
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P41305:416
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco40132:6-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima42117:347
    2Coquimbo42115:507
    3U. de Deportes41125:6-14
    4Nacional41126:9-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 43108:3510
    2Bolivar41214:315
    3La Guaira40313:6-33
    4Fluminense40222:5-32


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica42115:417
    2Cruzeiro42113:217
    3Boca Juniors42025:326
    4Barcelona SC41032:6-43


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians43107:1610
    2Platense42115:507
    3Santa Fe40223:6-32
    4Penarol40223:6-32


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras42206:338
    2Cerro Porteno42113:217
    3Sporting Cristal42024:406
    4Junior40131:5-41


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol43015:239
    2Lanus42022:5-36
    3LDU Quito42023:306
    4Always Ready41034:403


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central43105:0510
    2Ind. del Valle42116:517
    3Universidad Central42026:7-16
    4Libertad Asuncion40043:8-50

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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