Botafogo RJ vs Estudiantes La Plata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Copa Libertadores
Soccer Copa Libertadores Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata
Result
3:2
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.12
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
88% (449/512)81% (304/375)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.451.12
xG on target (xGOT)
2.741.73
Total shots
207
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
77
Passes
88% (449/512)81% (304/375)
Long passes
71% (44/62)50% (34/68)
Passes in final third
72% (92/127)58% (31/53)
Crosses
35% (12/34)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.17
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
77
Tackles
71% (5/7)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3930
Clearances
825
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.732.74
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Rwan Cruz ⚽, Artur (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Igor Jesus ⚽, Alex Telles (A),
  • 59', Gabriel Neves ↓, Piovi L. ↑,
  • 59', Alario L. ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
  • 59', Sosa J. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Palacios T. (Pen),
  • 65', Arzamendia S. 🟨,
  • 75', Rwan Cruz ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
  • 77', 2 - 2, Palacios T. ⚽,
  • 79', Boselli S. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
  • 83', Alex Telles ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
  • 83', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
  • 85', 3 - 2, Artur ⚽, Marlon Freitas (A),
  • 89', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,
  • 89', Artur ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
  • 90', Arzamendia S. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
  • 90', Cuiabano 🟨,
  • 90+3', Meza E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
49.6%		Draw
28.5%		Estudiantes La Plata
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 28.7% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 28.9% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
    •

    Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.91 ↓
    (1.95)    		 3.31 ↑
    (3.29)    		 4.31 ↑
    (4.11)    		 5.8%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Botafogo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Botafogo is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Barboza A. (Inactive) Bastos (Knee Injury) Gonzalo Mastriani (Inactive) Matheus Martins (Hamstring Injury) Savarino J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Medina C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Estudiantes: Castro A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Botafogo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    11.05.2025 Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS 4:0 ✺
    06.05.2025 Carabobo - Botafogo RJ 1:2 ✺
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0 ✺
    30.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Capital CF Ltda 4:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Fluminense 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    10.05.2025 Rosario Central - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0 ✺
    07.05.2025 Universidad de Chile - Estudiantes La Plata 0:3 ✺
    02.05.2025 Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 4:0 ✺
    28.04.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Tigre 0:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ 1:0 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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