Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo La Guaira: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira
Result
1:2
24/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.22
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
84% (354/420)88% (451/513)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.571.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.081.39
Total shots
511
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
84% (354/420)88% (451/513)
Long passes
57% (41/72)67% (48/72)
Passes in final third
60% (55/91)73% (97/132)
Crosses
26% (5/19)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.62
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
1510
Tackles
71% (12/17)88% (14/16)
Duels won
3645
Clearances
2520
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.391.08
Goals prevented
-0.610.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Moreno J. 🟨,
  • 28', Lamadrid K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Lamadrid K. , Castellanos J. (A),
  • 61', Pena A. , Browne O. ,
  • 68', Moreno J. , Alderete E. ,
  • 71', Castellanos J. , Osorio Y. ,
  • 71', Rivas Y. , Castillo S. ,
  • 73', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Hernandez J. ,
  • 79', Ibarra R. 🟨,
  • 81', Lamadrid K. , Caraballo J. ,
  • 89', Ibarra R. , Flores F. ,
  • 90+8', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 90+11', 1 - 2, Peralta R. ,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Mérida
28.5%
Draw
29.4%
Deportivo La Guaira
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 28.2% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3% 28% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (3.45)
    3.15
    (3.25)
    2.2
    (2.02)
    8%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo La Guaira: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 0.
    • Recent performances by Est de Mérida have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Deportivo La Guaira is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Est de Mérida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira were as follows:
    13.11.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida 3:1
    30.10.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira 0:1
    27.09.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida 1:1
    07.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Estudiantes de Mérida 1:0
    31.03.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira 1:2
    Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira870120:61421
    2Carabobo852111:5617
    3Dep. Tachira852113:9417
    4Monagas842210:8214
    5Caracas84229:8114
    6Puerto Cabello82519:7211
    7Universidad Central832310:10011
    8Estudiantes Merida83147:8-110
    9Zamora83147:10-310
    10Rayo Zuliano83147:11-410
    11Anzoategui FC82065:12-76
    12Metropolitanos812510:15-55
    13Portuguesa82156:10-44
    14Yaracuyanos81165:10-54

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    X
    bet365
    advertisement