Estudiantes de Mérida vs Academia Puerto Cabello: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello
Result
1:0
18/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Caripa L. (Ven)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.70
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
73% (201/277)80% (283/354)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.790.31
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1817
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
73% (201/277)80% (283/354)
Long passes
40% (25/63)58% (38/65)
Passes in final third
61% (64/105)62% (71/114)
Crosses
27% (4/15)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.40
Fouls
1914
Tackles
67% (14/21)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5353
Clearances Total
2412
Interceptions
1613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.310.79
Goals prevented
0.31-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
  • 39', Linares H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. , Pena A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hernandez O. , Echeverria J. ,
  • 53', Rojas R. , Tavares M. ,
  • 53', Linares H. , Mangana R. ,
  • 62', Khelifi S. , Guerrero R. ,
  • 67', Echeverria J. 🟨,
  • 70', Moreno J. 🟨,
  • 73', Moreno J. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 77', Manzambi N. , Paredes J. ,
  • 82', Pena A. , Lobo J. ,
  • 82', Hernandez J. , Ajam Elias ,
  • 87', Cedeno J. 🟨,
  • 89', Mina L. M. 🟨,
  • 90', Ramirez Holguin W. S. , Montilla Maldonado J. A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Mérida
41.2%
Draw
29.3%
Academia Puerto Cabello
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 28.4% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 27.5% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Mérida's performance.
  • Academia Puerto Cabello has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Academia Puerto Cabello might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Mérida that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Academia Puerto Cabello could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (3.4)
    3.15
    (3.27)
    3.12
    (2.1)
    8.5%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Est de Mérida won 1.
    • Est de Mérida has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Puerto Cabello is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Puerto Cabello could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Our prediction for today's Puerto Cabello to win the game is with odds 2.88.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Est de Mérida won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Est de Mérida won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello 2:1
    17.02.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello - Estudiantes de Mérida 2:1
    30.09.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello - Estudiantes de Mérida 1:0
    12.02.2023 Estudiantes de Mérida - Academia Puerto Cabello 1:3
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira11002:113
    2Universidad Central10104:401
    3Anzoategui FC10104:401
    4Portuguesa10011:2-10


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11003:123
    2Dep. Tachira11002:113
    3Puerto Cabello10011:2-10
    4Metropolitanos10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Final: )

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