Vitoria Guimarães vs Estrela da Amadora: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães).

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26
Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.00	0.26
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Goal Attempts
12	9
Shots on Goal
6	0
Shots off Goal
4	8
Blocked Shots
2	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
8	2
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
Free Kicks
17	15
Offsides
0	4
Fouls
15	17
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
22	22
Touches in the Opposition Box
16	13
Passes
87% (506/583)	80% (295/369)
Passes in the final third
74% (93/126)	67% (66/98)
Crosses
6% (1/16)	30% (3/10)
Tackles
70% (7/10)	69% (11/16)
Clearances Total
14	21
Interceptions
5	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Handel T. ⚽,
12', Ferro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Mendes J. 🟨,
57', Mendes J. ↓, Miguel Maga ↑,
58', Mendes J. ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Arcanjo T. ⚽, Oliveira N. (A),
69', Moreira P. ↓, Jovane ↑,
69', Lima R. ↓, Kikas ↑,
77', Chico Banza ↓, Mina J. ↑,
77', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
77', Oliveira N. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
78', Arcanjo T. ↓, Embalo U. ↑,
82', Keliano M. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
90', Bucca L. 🟨,
90+1', Felix V. ↓, Santos N. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Vitoria Guimarães
61.1%

Draw
24.6%

Estrela da Amadora
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

22.2%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

21.1%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães's form might have worsened.

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.42)	3.87 ↓ (4.26)	6.67 ↓ (8.47)	5.6% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : Gol (English)

What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Estrela will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 65% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 15).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Guimarães is certain favorite.
There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo Silva (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Estrela: Amine (Inactive) Drame I. (Injury) Leo Cordeiro (Injury) Rodrigo Pinho (Yellow Cards) Tiago Ferreira (Inactive) Varela N. (Inactive)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Estrela da Amadora?

Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Vitoria Guimarães?

Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:

27.10.2024 Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2

21.01.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora 3:0

13.08.2023 Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães 0:1

Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães

13.03.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Betis 0:4 ✺

09.03.2025 Boavista - Vitoria Guimarães 1:2 ✺

06.03.2025 Betis - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia 1:0 ✺

24.02.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Estrela da Amadora

07.03.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Gil Vicente 1:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora 1:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara 0:0 ✺

14.02.2025 Boavista - Estrela da Amadora 0:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Casa Pia - Estrela da Amadora 1:0 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Estoril	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gil Vicente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Braga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Tondela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Famalicao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	AFS	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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Which TV channels are streaming of Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+