Result
0:2
14/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Liga Portugal - Round 5
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (327/387) | 80% (210/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (327/387) | 80% (210/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/72) | 72% (60/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Oliveira N. ⚽, Abascal R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
- 53', Nogueira G. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
- 64', Oliveira N. ↓, Saviolo N. ↑,
- 71', Encada J. 🟨,
- 74', Bernardo Schappo ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
- 75', Arcanjo T. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 75', Nogueira M. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
- 81', Kikas ↓, Gastao J. ↑,
- 81', Robinho ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
- 86', Stoica I. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 2, Ndoye A. ⚽, Saviolo N. (A),
- 90+2', Marcus A. ↓, Antonetti L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
30.3% | Draw
30.8% | Vitoria Guimarães
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria Guimarães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↓
(3.52) |
3.05 ↓
(3.33) |
2.43 ↑
(2.09) |
5.9%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Guimarães will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Estrela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Guimarães: Samu
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Kikas
(Inactive)
Montoia G.
(Injury)
Ngom O.
(Inactive)
Nilton
(Foot Injury)
Rodrigo Pinho
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Estrela da Amadora?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
27.10.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
21.01.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:0
13.08.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 12 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Braga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Estoril | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Arouca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Alverca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Estrela | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | AFS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Tondela | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Which TV channels are streaming of Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
