Vitoria Guimarães vs Estrela da Amadora: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora
16/03/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26
  • Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.26
Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
129
Shots on Goal
60
Shots off Goal
48
Blocked Shots
21
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
82
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Free Kicks
1715
Offsides
04
Fouls
1517
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2222
Touches in the Opposition Box
1613
Passes
87% (506/583)80% (295/369)
Passes in the final third
74% (93/126)67% (66/98)
Crosses
6% (1/16)30% (3/10)
Tackles
70% (7/10)69% (11/16)
Clearances Total
1421
Interceptions
59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Handel T. ,
  • 12', Ferro 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Mendes J. 🟨,
  • 57', Mendes J. , Miguel Maga ,
  • 58', Mendes J. , Tiago Silva ,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Arcanjo T. , Oliveira N. (A),
  • 69', Moreira P. , Jovane ,
  • 69', Lima R. , Kikas ,
  • 77', Chico Banza , Mina J. ,
  • 77', Fabio Ronaldo , Sousa G. ,
  • 77', Oliveira N. , Ramirez J. ,
  • 78', Arcanjo T. , Embalo U. ,
  • 82', Keliano M. , Bucca L. ,
  • 90', Bucca L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Felix V. , Santos N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
61.1%
Draw
24.6%
Estrela da Amadora
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 22.2% 11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 21.1% 10.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitoria Guimarães's form might have worsened.
  • Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.42)
    3.87
    (4.26)
    6.67
    (8.47)
    5.6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Estrela will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 65%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 15).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Guimarães is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo Silva (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Estrela: Amine (Inactive) Drame I. (Injury) Leo Cordeiro (Injury) Rodrigo Pinho (Yellow Cards) Tiago Ferreira (Inactive) Varela N. (Inactive)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2
    21.01.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora 3:0
    13.08.2023 Estrela da Amadora - Vitoria Guimarães 0:1
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AFSVizela2 : 2, 3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    hungaryHungarySport 2
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldDisney+
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