Estoril Praia vs Estrela da Amadora: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril).

: Liga Portugal - Round 34
Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.59	0.62
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
7	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
81% (313/387)	79% (297/377)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59	0.62
xG on target (xGOT)
2.66	0.44
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
7	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
16	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
13	18
Passes
81% (313/387)	79% (297/377)
Long passes
38% (18/47)	49% (33/67)
Passes in final third
63% (63/100)	49% (43/87)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	1.09
Throw-ins
20	19
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
56% (9/16)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
46	45
Clearances
34	12
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.44	2.66
Goals prevented
0.44	-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho P. (A),
8', 2 - 0, Begraoui Y. ⚽,
21', 3 - 0, Lacximicant A. ⚽, Carvalho J. (A),
23', 4 - 0, Begraoui Y. ⚽,
25', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
25', Ruiz A. 🟨,
29', Ruiz A. ↓, Moreira P. ↑,
29', Amine ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pantalon R. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
46', Bucca L. ↓, Lopes M. ↑,
53', Jovane ↓, Ferro ↑,
62', Lacximicant A. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
62', Carvalho J. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
70', Amaral P. 🟨,
72', Costa G. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
72', Amaral P. ↓, Brito T. ↑,
77', Begraoui Y. ↓, Salazar I. P. ↑,
85', Lopes M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Estoril Praia
36.4%

Draw
28.8%

Estrela da Amadora
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

27.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

25.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estoril Praia's form might have worsened.

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrela da Amadora's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.2)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	2.7 ↓ (3.26)	6.4% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Estoril: Alvaro P. (Yellow Cards) Jandro (Inactive) Xeka (Injury)
There are questionable in Estrela: Lopes M. (Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Estoril won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Estrela da Amadora?

Estoril Praia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Estoril Praia?

Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:

05.01.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia 2:4

04.02.2024 Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora 1:0

25.08.2023 Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia 2:1

Latest results of Estoril Praia

11.05.2025 Moreirense - Estoril Praia 2:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Estoril Praia - Benfica 1:2 ✺

29.04.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 1:3 ✺

19.04.2025 Estoril Praia - Braga 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Famalicão - Estoril Praia 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Estrela da Amadora

11.05.2025 Estrela da Amadora - AVS 0:1 ✺

05.05.2025 Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Porto 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Arouca - Estrela da Amadora 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Farense 0:1 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	88:27	61	82
2	Benfica	34	25	5	4	84:28	56	80
3	FC Porto	34	22	5	7	65:30	35	71
4	Braga	34	19	9	6	55:30	25	66
5	Santa Clara	34	17	6	11	36:32	4	57
6	Vitoria Guimaraes	34	14	12	8	47:37	10	54
7	Famalicao	34	12	11	11	44:39	5	47
8	Estoril	34	12	10	12	48:53	-5	46
9	Casa Pia	34	12	9	13	39:44	-5	45
10	Moreirense	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
11	Rio Ave	34	9	11	14	39:55	-16	38
12	Arouca	34	9	11	14	35:49	-14	38
13	Gil Vicente	34	8	10	16	34:47	-13	34
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	32:50	-18	34
15	Estrela	34	7	8	19	24:50	-26	29
16	AFS	34	5	12	17	25:60	-35	27
17	SC Farense	34	6	9	19	25:46	-21	27
18	Boavista	34	6	6	22	24:59	-35	24

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      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7