Estoril Praia vs Porto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Estoril Praia - Porto
Result
1:2
30/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 27
  • Referee: Malheiro H. (Por)
Estoril Praia - Porto - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.59
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
314
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
77% (239/309)85% (392/463)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.871.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.002.21
Total shots
314
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
110
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
825
Through passes
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1319
Passes
77% (239/309)85% (392/463)
Long passes
37% (16/43)62% (37/60)
Passes in final third
59% (37/63)66% (67/101)
Crosses
10% (1/10)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.130.80
Fouls
1913
Tackles
72% (18/25)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5164
Clearances Total
2019
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.211.00
Goals prevented
0.210.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', Boma K. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Begraoui Y. (Pen),
  • 32', Pina W. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Samu (Pen),
  • 45+4', Xeka 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Boma K. , Marques A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Mora R. , Moura F. (A),
  • 66', Pina W. , Carvalho P. ,
  • 66', Guitane R. , Garcia Andrade F. ,
  • 66', Begraoui Y. , Vinicius Zanocelo ,
  • 74', Amaral P. 🟨,
  • 75', Perez N. 🟨,
  • 76', Pepê , Borges G. ,
  • 77', Vieira F. , Franco A. ,
  • 84', Amaral P. , Lacximicant A. ,
  • 86', Samu , Gul D. ,
  • 86', Mora R. , Fernandes M. ,
  • 90+1', Eustaquio S. , Pedro J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estoril Praia
15.5%
Draw
22.9%
Porto
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.4% 22.8% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15% 22.3% 63.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Estoril Praia - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.09
    (6.1)
    4.11
    (4.11)
    1.53
    (1.52)
    6.1%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Porto?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Porto is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Muscle Injury) Sousa V. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Estoril won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 19:44 (average 1:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:21 (average 1.4:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Porto were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Porto - Estoril Praia 4:0
    30.03.2024 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:0
    09.01.2024 Estoril Praia - Porto 0:4
    06.12.2023 Estoril Praia - Porto 3:1
    03.11.2023 Porto - Estoril Praia 0:1
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    08.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Farense 2:2
    22.02.2025 Estoril Praia - Rio Ave 2:1
    15.02.2025 Nacional - Estoril Praia 2:2
    09.02.2025 Estoril Praia - Boavista 2:1
    Latest results of Porto
    15.03.2025 Porto - AVS 2:0
    08.03.2025 Braga - Porto 1:0
    01.03.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:2
    24.02.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1
    20.02.2025 Roma - Porto 3:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP32246285:265978
    2Benfica32253482:265678
    3FC Porto32205760:293165
    4Braga32198553:272665
    5Vitoria Guimaraes321412646:331354
    6Santa Clara321561132:30251
    7Famalicao3211111041:36544
    8Casa Pia321191236:41-542
    9Estoril321191242:51-942
    10Moreirense32991437:48-1136
    11Rio Ave32991435:51-1636
    12Arouca328101430:47-1734
    13Nacional32961729:44-1533
    14Gil Vicente32881632:45-1332
    15Estrela32781724:45-2129
    16SC Farense32591822:43-2124
    17Boavista32662022:53-3124
    18AFS324121624:57-3324

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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