Casa Pia vs Estoril Praia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Casa Pia - Estoril Praia
03/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Casa Pia - Estoril Praia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Casa Pia
36.7%
Draw
28.8%
Estoril Praia
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 27% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26.7% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Casa Pia's form might have worsened.
  • Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casa Pia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estoril Praia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Casa Pia - Estoril Praia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.14)
    3.29
    (3.45)
    2.74
    (3.16)
    5.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Casa Pia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Estoril Praia were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 1:3
    15.12.2024 Estoril Praia - Casa Pia 0:2
    08.04.2024 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 0:0
    10.11.2023 Estoril Praia - Casa Pia 4:0
    21.05.2023 Casa Pia - Estoril Praia 2:2
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    27.09.2025 Moreirense - Casa Pia 2:1
    21.09.2025 Casa Pia - Famalicão 1:1
    14.09.2025 Arouca - Casa Pia 0:2
    30.08.2025 Casa Pia - Nacional 0:2
    24.08.2025 Porto - Casa Pia 4:0
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP760119:41518
    2FC Porto660015:11418
    3Benfica752013:4917
    4Moreirense750210:8215
    5Gil Vicente74128:4413
    6Famalicao73317:3412
    7Braga723211:749
    8Santa Clara72235:8-38
    9Vitoria Guimaraes72237:11-48
    10Arouca62229:14-58
    11Estrela71426:607
    12Alverca72148:11-37
    13Nacional72146:10-47
    14Casa Pia72146:11-57
    15Estoril71248:11-35
    16Rio Ave70528:13-55
    17Tondela71244:11-75
    18AFS70164:17-131

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