Estoril Praia vs Braga: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Estoril Praia - Braga
Result
0:2
19/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 30
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Estoril Praia - Braga - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.74
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
65
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
78% (309/398)83% (533/640)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.160.69
Total shots
65
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
12
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
415
Through passes
67% (2/3)100% (2/2)
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
78% (309/398)83% (533/640)
Long passes
36% (16/45)41% (36/88)
Passes in final third
51% (37/72)63% (71/113)
Crosses
20% (2/10)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.59
Fouls
1115
Tackles
72% (13/18)50% (14/28)
Duels won
5656
Clearances Total
1925
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.690.16
Goals prevented
-1.310.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Gharbi I. , Moutinho J. (A),
  • 21', 0 - 2, Gharbi I. , Moutinho J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Begraoui Y. , Brito T. ,
  • 49', Lacximicant A. 🟨,
  • 60', Zalazar R. , Martinez G. ,
  • 60', Patrao A. , El Ouazzani A. ,
  • 60', Oliveira P. , Robson Bambu ,
  • 64', Costa G. , Garcia Andrade F. ,
  • 64', Lacximicant A. , Marques A. ,
  • 79', Guitane R. , Salazar I. P. ,
  • 79', Moutinho J. , Vitor Carvalho ,
  • 84', Horta R. , Gorby ,
  • 84', Boma K. , Mangala E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estoril Praia
20.4%
Draw
26.1%
Braga
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 27% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 27.4% 48.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Estoril Praia - Braga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.58
    (3.92)
    3.58
    (3.5)
    1.76
    (1.93)
    6.4%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Braga?
    The most likely score is 0:1. User prediction is Braga will win! (12 of 14 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 0.
    • Recent matches Estoril is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Braga in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Braga is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Estoril: Bacher F. (Yellow Cards) Carvalho J. (Yellow Cards) Pina W. (Yellow Cards) Xeka (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Braga: Fernandes R. (Thigh Injury) Navarro F. (Injury) Noro J. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 15:47 (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:17 (average 0.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Braga were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Braga - Estoril Praia 2:2
    13.04.2024 Estoril Praia - Braga 0:1
    27.01.2024 Braga - Estoril Praia 2:1
    03.12.2023 Braga - Estoril Praia 3:1
    08.04.2023 Braga - Estoril Praia 4:1
    Latest results of Estoril Praia
    12.04.2025 Famalicão - Estoril Praia 3:0
    04.04.2025 AVS - Estoril Praia 0:3
    30.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:2
    08.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Farense 2:2
    Latest results of Braga
    13.04.2025 Braga - AVS 4:1
    07.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Braga 1:1
    29.03.2025 Braga - Arouca 2:1
    15.03.2025 Farense - Braga 0:1
    08.03.2025 Braga - Porto 1:0
    Liga Portugal Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP34257288:276182
    2Benfica34255484:285680
    3FC Porto34225765:303571
    4Braga34199655:302566
    5Santa Clara341761136:32457
    6Vitoria Guimaraes341412847:371054
    7Famalicao3412111144:39547
    8Estoril3412101248:53-546
    9Casa Pia341291339:44-545
    10Moreirense3410101442:50-840
    11Rio Ave349111439:55-1638
    12Arouca349111435:49-1438
    13Gil Vicente348101634:47-1334
    14Nacional34971832:50-1834
    15Estrela34781924:50-2629
    16AFS345121725:60-3527
    17SC Farense34691925:46-2127
    18Boavista34662224:59-3524

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Estoril Praia - Braga?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSport TV Africa, ZAP
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
    germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
    romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldDisney+
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