Estonia vs Portugal, EuroBasket: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Basketball EuroBasket Estonia - Portugal
Result
65:68
03/09/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EuroBasket - Round 5
Estonia - Portugal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5958
Field Goals Made
2323
Field Goals %
39%39.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2830
2-Point Field Goals Made
1117
2-Point Field Goals %
39.3%56.7%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3128
3-Point Field Goals Made
126
3-Point Field Goals %
38.7%21.4%
Free Throws Attempted
927
Free Throws Made
716
Free Throws %
77.8%59.3%
Offensive Rebounds
910
Defensive Rebounds
3225
Total Rebounds
4135
Assists
2019
Blocks
13
Turnovers
179
Steals
38
Personal Fouls
2614

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estonia
58%
Portugal
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estonia's performance.
  • Portugal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portugal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estonia than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estonia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portugal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Estonia - Portugal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (2.02)

    2.25
    (1.8)
    4.2%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 148.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Estonia - Portugal?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Portugal will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Estonia: 34.6%73%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Estonia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:73.
  • Preview Facts
    • Estonia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portugal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Estonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estonia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 383:327. (average 76.6:65.4).
    Latest results of Estonia
    01.09.2025 Estonia - Turkey 64:84
    30.08.2025 Czech Republic - Estonia 75:89
    29.08.2025 Estonia - Latvia 70:72
    27.08.2025 Serbia - Estonia 98:64
    22.08.2025 Estonia - Great Britain 62:72
    Latest results of Portugal
    01.09.2025 Portugal - Latvia 62:78
    30.08.2025 Turkey - Portugal 95:54
    29.08.2025 Portugal - Serbia 69:80
    27.08.2025 Czech Republic - Portugal 50:62
    16.08.2025 Portugal - Sweden 78:61
    EuroBasket Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWLPts
    1Turkey550459:35910
    2Serbia541434:3689
    3Latvia532412:3848
    4Portugal523315:3687
    5Estonia514352:3976
    6Czech Republic505338:4345


    Group B
    PlWLPts
    1Germany550529:36510
    2Lithuania541431:3939
    3Finland532426:4068
    4Sweden514403:4186
    5Montenegro514378:4556
    6Great Britain514354:4846


    Group C
    PlWLPts
    1Italy ✔ 541396:3339
    2Bosnia & Herzegovina532401:4018
    3Greece ✔ 431342:2687
    4Georgia523367:3867
    5Spain422311:2646
    6Cyprus505295:4605


    Group D
    PlWLPts
    1France ✔ 541461:3919
    2Slovenia ✔ 532469:4528
    3Israel ✔ 532417:4018
    4Poland ✔ 431331:3177
    5Belgium413293:3345
    6Iceland505363:4395

          Promotion ~ EuroBasket (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Italy is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Greece is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    France is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Slovenia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Israel is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Poland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Estonia - Portugal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
    czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 5
    germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    portugalPortugalRTP 1
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 2
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
    worldWorldCourt Side 1891
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