Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers
Result
81:58
23/05/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 11
Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
118
Behinds
1510
Kicks
249200
Handballs
193141
Disposals
442341
Frees For
1516
Frees Against
1615
Clearances Completed
4523
Marks
10294
Tackles
7154
Hitouts
5630

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (13 - 8)
  • 02:17, Martin N. (G),
  • 12:29, Taranto T. (G),
  • 16:00, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:00, Hopper J. (Behind),
  • 24:17, Mansell R. (Behind),
  • 25:31, Clarke A. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (27 - 23)
  • 00:57, Lalor S. (G),
  • 03:00, Green S. (Behind),
  • 03:33, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:20, Ralphsmith H. (Behind),
  • 06:15, Roberts A. (Behind),
  • 07:33, Clarke A. (G),
  • 10:14, Martin N. (G),
  • 11:52, Faull J. (Behind),
  • 13:00, Faull J. (G),
  • 19:15, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 20:17, (Behind Rushed),
  • 21:54, Ralphsmith H. (G),
  • 24:44, Clarke A. (G),
  • 30:30, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 32:08, Durham S. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (22 - 19)
  • 02:23, Caddy N. (G),
  • 03:46, Mansell R. (G),
  • 07:34, Merrett Z. (Behind),
  • 09:00, Taranto T. (G),
  • 12:36, (Behind Rushed),
  • 16:05, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 17:07, Lalor S. (G),
  • 19:58, Wright P. (G),
  • 22:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:45, Guelfi M. (G),
  • 31:14, (Behind Rushed),
  • 4th Quarter (19 - 8)
  • 00:53, Duursma X. (Behind),
  • 04:18, Perkins A. (G),
  • 08:15, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 09:29, Durham S. (Behind),
  • 10:29, Clarke A. (Behind),
  • 13:46, Hobbs B. (Behind),
  • 16:09, McAuliffe K. (Behind),
  • 18:51, Wright P. (G),
  • 21:57, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 21:58, Duursma X. (Behind),
  • 24:59, Mansell R. (Behind),
  • 28:33, Ralphsmith H. (G),

Chances of winning


Essendon Bombers
74.6%
Richmond Tigers
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Essendon Bombers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Richmond Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Essendon Bombers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richmond Tigers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.32)

    3.59
    (3.42)
    7.3%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 160.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)
  • What is the prediction for Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers?
    The most likely score is 93:68. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Essendon is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1365:1788. (average 68.3:89.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 732:1068. (average 66.5:97.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers 74:86
    20.05.2023 Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers 71:70
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    Latest results of Richmond Tigers
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1210021125:822136.8640
    2Brisbane Lions139131128:1002112.5738
    3Adelaide Crows139041313:957137.2036
    4Geelong Cats139041275:1010126.2436
    5Gold Coast Suns128041114:904123.2332
    6Hawthorn Hawks138051150:1029111.7632
    7GWS Giants137061081:1008107.2428
    8Fremantle Dockers127051013:952106.4128
    9Western Bulldogs126061210:991122.1024
    10Essendon Bombers11605821:97184.5524
    11St Kilda Saints12507993:106793.0620
    12Sydney Swans135081004:111490.1320
    13Melbourne Demons12507952:108787.5820
    14Port Adelaide Power12507901:110681.4620
    15Carlton Blues11407889:865102.7716
    16Richmond Tigers133010853:122969.4112
    17North Melbourne11218874:111978.1110
    18West Coast Eagles121011840:130364.474

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