Richmond Tigers vs Essendon Bombers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Aussie rules AFL Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers
Result
46:37
12/07/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 18
Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
64
Behinds
1013
Kicks
212206
Handballs
169143
Disposals
381349
Frees For
1622
Frees Against
2216
Clearances Completed
3133
Marks
11386
Tackles
5056
Hitouts
2939

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (22 - 18)
  • 02:40, Sonsie T. (Behind),
  • 03:24, Durham S. (G),
  • 09:38, Koschitzke J. (Behind),
  • 11:18, Banks S. (G),
  • 13:13, Hotton T. (G),
  • 15:11, Faull J. (Behind),
  • 18:24, Tsatas E. (G),
  • 20:12, Caddy N. (G),
  • 24:56, Rioli M. (Behind),
  • 29:10, Short J. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (1 - 6)
  • 02:12, May A. (Behind),
  • 08:08, Wright P. (Behind),
  • 10:47, Duursma X. (Behind),
  • 20:15, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:07, (Behind Rushed),
  • 26:08, Kako I. (Behind),
  • 27:18, Hobbs B. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (4 - 10)
  • 02:21, Trainor L. (Behind),
  • 03:18, Hopper J. (Behind),
  • 04:53, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 09:04, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:57, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:33, May A. (G),
  • 17:04, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:08, Trainor L. (Behind),
  • 20:54, (Behind Rushed),
  • 4th Quarter (19 - 3)
  • 01:46, Trezise J. (Behind),
  • 04:58, Taranto T. (G),
  • 08:22, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:38, Hopper J. (G),
  • 16:09, Caddy N. (Behind),
  • 17:27, Faull J. (G),
  • 23:31, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning


Richmond Tigers
33%
Essendon Bombers
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Richmond Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Tigers than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richmond Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Essendon Bombers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (3)

    1.41
    (1.4)
    6.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 161.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)
  • What is the prediction for Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Richmond will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Essendon will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Essendon (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 73:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 2.
    • Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
    • Essendon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Essendon is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Richmond won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1760:1368. (average 88:68.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Richmond won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 720:633. (average 80:70.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers were as follows:
    23.05.2025 Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers 81:58
    25.05.2024 Richmond Tigers - Essendon Bombers 74:86
    20.05.2023 Essendon Bombers - Richmond Tigers 71:70
    Latest results of Richmond Tigers
    Latest results of Essendon Bombers
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1915041742:1290135.0460
    2Adelaide Crows1914051918:1314145.9756
    3Brisbane Lions1913151689:1524110.8354
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Hawthorn Hawks1913061677:1399119.8752
    6GWS Giants1913061722:1454118.4352
    7Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    8Gold Coast Suns1812061677:1403119.5348
    9Western Bulldogs1911082033:1533132.6244
    10Sydney Swans1990101499:159693.9236
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    13Melbourne Demons1960131532:170389.9624
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1860121227:171271.6724
    16Richmond Tigers1950141223:179668.1020
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles1910181249:196863.474

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